NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 15, 2017
Kyle Busch
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 15, 2017, leading 77 of 200 laps. Ryan Preece finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 15, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Ryan Preece |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | William Byron |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Brad Keselowski |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Ben Kennedy |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Elliott Sadler |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Ty Dillon |
| 9 | 10 | +1 | Cole Custer |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Brennan Poole |
| 11 | 4 | -7 | Matt Tifft |
| 12 | 5 | -7 | Daniel Hemric |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Blake Koch |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Ryan Reed |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | J.J. Yeley |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Michael Annett |
| 17 | 16 | -1 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 19 | 18 | -1 | Ross Chastain |
| 20 | 20 | — | Ryan Sieg |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Jeremy Clements |
| 22 | 39 | +17 | Dylan Lupton |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | Garrett Smithley |
| 24 | 15 | -9 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 25 | 34 | +9 | Joey Gase |
| 26 | 27 | +1 | B.J. McLeod |
| 27 | 32 | +5 | Spencer Boyd |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Timmy Hill |
| 29 | 31 | +2 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 30 | 28 | -2 | David Starr |
| 31 | 38 | +7 | Mike Harmon |
| 32 | 11 | -21 | Justin Allgaier |
| 33 | 37 | +4 | Martin Roy |
| 34 | 22 | -12 | Brandon Jones |
| 35 | 17 | -18 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 36 | 36 | — | Carl Long |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 38 | 30 | -8 | Jeff Green |
| 39 | 29 | -10 | Reed Sorenson |
| 40 | 40 | — | John Jackson |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.0 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 1 | +14.6 |
| 2 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 2 | +8.8 |
| 3 | William Byron | 10.3 | 3 | +7.3 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 5 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 5 | +7.0 |
| 8 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 8 | +16.3 |
| 9 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 9 | +14.0 |
| 10 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 10 | +13.1 |
| 15 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 15 | +13.1 |
| 19 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 19 | -5.2 |
| 25 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 25 | -3.0 |
| 26 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 26 | -0.4 |
| 28 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 28 | -3.7 |
| 30 | David Starr | 20.2 | 30 | -9.8 |
| 32 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 32 | -14.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 44 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 11.9 avg finish (9 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Kyle Larson: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.5 avg finish, finishing P4 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P24. Track history: 12 starts, 18.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE?
Kyle Busch won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 15, 2017.