NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD

Indianapolis Motor Speedway — July 22, 2017

William Byron
Winner
100
Laps
40
Entries
8
Leaders

William Byron won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 22, 2017, leading 26 of 100 laps. Paul Menard finished second; Joey Logano rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 22, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
8 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 William Byron
2 15 +13 Paul Menard
3 12 +9 Joey Logano
4 1 -3 Elliott Sadler
5 6 +1 Cole Custer
6 10 +4 Ryan Reed
7 17 +10 Brennan Poole
8 13 +5 Daniel Hemric
9 14 +5 Brandon Jones
10 19 +9 Ty Dillon
11 7 -4 Matt Tifft
12 11 -1 Kyle Busch
13 16 +3 Brendan Gaughan
14 8 -6 Ryan Sieg
15 21 +6 J.J. Yeley
16 23 +7 Ross Chastain
17 22 +5 Blake Koch
18 9 -9 Ben Kennedy
19 25 +6 Jeb Burton
20 24 +4 Dakoda Armstrong
21 33 +12 Garrett Smithley
22 29 +7 Harrison Rhodes
23 2 -21 Erik Jones
24 30 +6 Ray Black, Jr.
25 5 -20 Michael Annett
26 31 +5 Tommy Joe Martins
27 26 -1 Mario Gosselin
28 20 -8 Spencer Gallagher
29 35 +6 David Starr
30 37 +7 Joey Gase
31 32 +1 Jeremy Clements
32 39 +7 Chad Finchum
33 34 +1 B.J. McLeod
34 40 +6 Mike Harmon
35 4 -31 Justin Allgaier
36 36 Timmy Hill
37 18 -19 Tyler Reddick
38 27 -11 Reed Sorenson
39 38 -1 Morgan Shepherd
40 28 -12 Jeff Green
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 William Byron 10.7 1 +9.7
3 Joey Logano 14.7 3 +11.7
5 Cole Custer 22.9 5 +17.9
7 Brennan Poole 24.7 7 +17.7
10 Ty Dillon 23.4 10 +13.4
12 Kyle Busch 17.0 12 +5.0
15 J.J. Yeley 28.8 15 +13.8
16 Ross Chastain 13.3 16 -2.7
23 Erik Jones 16.7 23 -6.3
29 David Starr 20.9 29 -8.1
30 Joey Gase 23.4 30 -6.6
32 Chad Finchum 26.4 32 -5.6
33 B.J. McLeod 24.8 33 -8.2
35 Justin Allgaier 18.3 35 -16.7
36 Timmy Hill 23.9 36 -12.1
37 Tyler Reddick 6.2 37 -30.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • William Byron: has 6 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 15.2 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 5 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 21.2 avg finish, finishing P37 on the day.
  • Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P23. Track history: 4 starts, 4.8 avg finish.

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD?
William Byron won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD at Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD was held at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 22, 2017.