Fr8Auctions 250

Talladega Superspeedway — October 13, 2018

Timothy Peters
Winner
94
Laps
32
Entries
12
Leaders

Timothy Peters won the 2018 Fr8Auctions 250 at Talladega Superspeedway on October 13, 2018, leading 1 of 94 laps. Myatt Snider finished second; David Gilliland rounded out the podium. The race featured 12 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 13, 2018
Season
2018
Leaders
12 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Timothy Peters
2 28 +26 Myatt Snider
3 1 -2 David Gilliland
4 16 +12 Justin Haley
5 32 +27 Wendell Chavous
6 11 +5 Stewart Friesen
7 21 +14 Jordan Anderson
8 27 +19 Bryan Dauzat
9 30 +21 Max Tullman
10 10 Austin Hill
11 22 +11 Jennifer Jo Cobb
12 24 +12 Austin Wayne Self
13 13 Noah Gragson
14 26 +12 Robby Lyons
15 15 Korbin Forrister
16 14 -2 Ben Rhodes
17 8 -9 Brett Moffitt
18 25 +7 Scott Lagasse Jr.
19 4 -15 Grant Enfinger
20 6 -14 Todd Gilliland
21 29 +8 Justin Fontaine
22 5 -17 Johnny Sauter
23 23 Bobby Gerhart
24 19 -5 Chris Fontaine
25 2 -23 Spencer Gallagher
26 9 -17 Matt Crafton
27 31 +4 John Hunter Nemechek
28 20 -8 Parker Kligerman
29 12 -17 Bo LeMastus
30 7 -23 Joe Nemechek
31 17 -14 Tanner Thorson
32 18 -14 Clay Greenfield
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Timothy Peters
Myatt Snider 3 10
David Gilliland 7
Justin Haley 8 8
Wendell Chavous
Stewart Friesen
Jordan Anderson
Bryan Dauzat
Max Tullman
Austin Hill 6
Jennifer Jo Cobb 7
Austin Wayne Self
Noah Gragson 5
Robby Lyons
Korbin Forrister
Ben Rhodes 9 4
Brett Moffitt
Scott Lagasse Jr.
Grant Enfinger 1
Todd Gilliland 6 1
Justin Fontaine
Johnny Sauter 2 3
Bobby Gerhart
Chris Fontaine
Spencer Gallagher
Matt Crafton 4 2
John Hunter Nemechek 10 5
Parker Kligerman 9
Bo LeMastus
Joe Nemechek
Tanner Thorson
Clay Greenfield
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
4 Justin Haley 23.4 4 +19.4
10 Austin Hill 24.0 10 +14.0
13 Noah Gragson 24.0 13 +11.0
20 Todd Gilliland 22.9 20 +2.9
27 John Hunter Nemechek 20.5 27 -6.5

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Timothy Peters: has 10 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 10.4 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • John Hunter Nemechek: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Talladega Superspeedway with a 19.5 avg finish, finishing P27 on the day.
  • Justin Haley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P23. Track history: 17 starts, 13.6 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2018 Fr8Auctions 250?
Timothy Peters won the 2018 Fr8Auctions 250 at Talladega Superspeedway driving for GMS Racing.
Where was the 2018 Fr8Auctions 250 held?
The 2018 Fr8Auctions 250 was held at Talladega Superspeedway on October 13, 2018.