Gander Outdoors 150
Pocono Raceway — July 28, 2018
Kyle Busch
Winner
60
Laps
32
Entries
6
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2018 Gander Outdoors 150 at Pocono Raceway on July 28, 2018, leading 43 of 60 laps. Erik Jones finished second; Dalton Sargeant rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 31 | +29 | Erik Jones |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Dalton Sargeant |
| 4 | 12 | +8 | Stewart Friesen |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Justin Haley |
| 6 | 5 | -1 | Grant Enfinger |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Todd Gilliland |
| 8 | 7 | -1 | Johnny Sauter |
| 9 | 20 | +11 | Matt Crafton |
| 10 | 6 | -4 | Joe Nemechek |
| 11 | 14 | +3 | Ben Rhodes |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Myatt Snider |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Austin Hill |
| 14 | 10 | -4 | Cody Coughlin |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Tanner Thorson |
| 16 | 16 | — | Jordan Anderson |
| 17 | 17 | — | Justin Fontaine |
| 18 | 13 | -5 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 19 | 23 | +4 | Josh Reaume |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Bo LeMastus |
| 21 | 19 | -2 | Wendell Chavous |
| 22 | 30 | +8 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | Todd Peck |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 25 | 28 | +3 | Norm Benning |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Brett Moffitt |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Ray Ciccarelli |
| 28 | 21 | -7 | Timmy Hill |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Camden Murphy |
| 30 | 18 | -12 | Reed Sorenson |
| 31 | 24 | -7 | J.J. Yeley |
| 32 | 27 | -5 | Bayley Currey |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | 4 | — | — | — |
| Dalton Sargeant | 3 | — | — | — |
| Stewart Friesen | 8 | 1 | — | — |
| Justin Haley | 2 | — | — | — |
| Grant Enfinger | 5 | 2 | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | 1 | — | — | — |
| Johnny Sauter | 7 | — | — | — |
| Matt Crafton | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Nemechek | 6 | — | — | — |
| Ben Rhodes | — | 6 | — | — |
| Myatt Snider | — | 3 | — | — |
| Austin Hill | 10 | 5 | — | — |
| Cody Coughlin | 9 | 4 | — | — |
| Tanner Thorson | — | 7 | — | — |
| Jordan Anderson | — | 8 | — | — |
| Justin Fontaine | — | 9 | — | — |
| Austin Wayne Self | — | 10 | — | — |
| Josh Reaume | — | — | — | — |
| Bo LeMastus | — | — | — | — |
| Wendell Chavous | — | — | — | — |
| Jennifer Jo Cobb | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Peck | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Benning | — | — | — | — |
| Brett Moffitt | — | — | — | — |
| Ray Ciccarelli | — | — | — | — |
| Timmy Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Camden Murphy | — | — | — | — |
| Reed Sorenson | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Bayley Currey | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 2 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 2 | +14.7 |
| 5 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 5 | +14.9 |
| 7 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 7 | +12.1 |
| 13 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 13 | +7.9 |
| 24 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 24 | +0.8 |
| 28 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 28 | -4.1 |
| 31 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 31 | -2.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 47 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 14.9 avg finish (8 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Erik Jones: was the model’s top pick based on 17 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Gander Outdoors 150?
Kyle Busch won the 2018 Gander Outdoors 150 at Pocono Raceway driving for Kyle Busch Motorsports.
Where was the 2018 Gander Outdoors 150 held?
The 2018 Gander Outdoors 150 was held at Pocono Raceway on July 28, 2018.