Overton's 225
Chicagoland Speedway — June 29, 2018
Brett Moffitt
Winner
150
Laps
32
Entries
6
Leaders
Brett Moffitt won the 2018 Overton's 225 at Chicagoland Speedway on June 29, 2018, leading 17 of 150 laps. Ben Rhodes finished second; Johnny Sauter rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Friday, June 29, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Brett Moffitt |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Ben Rhodes |
| 3 | 7 | +4 | Johnny Sauter |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Noah Gragson |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | Brandon Jones |
| 6 | 10 | +4 | Justin Haley |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 8 | 13 | +5 | Grant Enfinger |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Austin Hill |
| 10 | 11 | +1 | Myatt Snider |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Matt Crafton |
| 12 | 12 | — | Cody Coughlin |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | Justin Fontaine |
| 15 | 18 | +3 | Bo LeMastus |
| 16 | 4 | -12 | Todd Gilliland |
| 17 | 26 | +9 | Jordan Anderson |
| 18 | 20 | +2 | Korbin Forrister |
| 19 | 5 | -14 | Stewart Friesen |
| 20 | 2 | -18 | Dalton Sargeant |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Josh Reaume |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Wendell Chavous |
| 23 | 21 | -2 | Max Tullman |
| 24 | 29 | +5 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 25 | 30 | +5 | Brian Kaltreider |
| 26 | 17 | -9 | Ross Chastain |
| 27 | 25 | -2 | Bayley Currey |
| 28 | 23 | -5 | Joe Nemechek |
| 29 | 27 | -2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 30 | 24 | -6 | Camden Murphy |
| 31 | 31 | — | Norm Benning |
| 32 | 28 | -4 | Mike Harmon |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brett Moffitt | 5 | 2 | — | — |
| Ben Rhodes | 6 | — | — | — |
| Johnny Sauter | 7 | 5 | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Brandon Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | 9 | 7 | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | 1 | 3 | — | — |
| Grant Enfinger | — | 10 | — | — |
| Austin Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Myatt Snider | — | — | — | — |
| Matt Crafton | — | 6 | — | — |
| Cody Coughlin | 10 | 9 | — | — |
| Austin Wayne Self | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Fontaine | — | — | — | — |
| Bo LeMastus | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | 8 | 8 | — | — |
| Jordan Anderson | — | — | — | — |
| Korbin Forrister | — | — | — | — |
| Stewart Friesen | 3 | 4 | — | — |
| Dalton Sargeant | 4 | — | — | — |
| Josh Reaume | — | — | — | — |
| Wendell Chavous | — | — | — | — |
| Max Tullman | — | — | — | — |
| Jennifer Jo Cobb | — | — | — | — |
| Brian Kaltreider | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| Bayley Currey | — | — | — | — |
| Joe Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Camden Murphy | — | — | — | — |
| Norm Benning | — | — | — | — |
| Mike Harmon | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 7 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 4 | +17.4 |
| 6 | Justin Haley | 19.9 | 6 | +13.9 |
| 7 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 7 | +12.1 |
| 9 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 9 | +11.9 |
| 16 | Todd Gilliland | 19.1 | 16 | +3.1 |
| 26 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 26 | -12.7 |
| 29 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 29 | -0.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brett Moffitt: has 3 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 11.0 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 19.0 avg finish, finishing P26 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P21. Track history: 3 starts, 6.0 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Overton's 225?
Brett Moffitt won the 2018 Overton's 225 at Chicagoland Speedway driving for Hattori Racing Enterprises.
Where was the 2018 Overton's 225 held?
The 2018 Overton's 225 was held at Chicagoland Speedway on June 29, 2018.