Texas Roadhouse 200
Martinsville Speedway — October 27, 2018
Johnny Sauter
Winner
200
Laps
32
Entries
4
Leaders
Johnny Sauter won the 2018 Texas Roadhouse 200 at Martinsville Speedway on October 27, 2018, leading 148 of 200 laps. Brett Moffitt finished second; Myatt Snider rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 27, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | +7 | Johnny Sauter |
| 2 | 17 | +15 | Brett Moffitt |
| 3 | 16 | +13 | Myatt Snider |
| 4 | 4 | — | Ben Rhodes |
| 5 | 5 | — | Kyle Benjamin |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Justin Haley |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Noah Gragson |
| 8 | 2 | -6 | Harrison Burton |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Christian Eckes |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Timothy Peters |
| 11 | 11 | — | Stewart Friesen |
| 12 | 1 | -11 | Todd Gilliland |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Matt Crafton |
| 14 | 6 | -8 | Grant Enfinger |
| 15 | 22 | +7 | Jeb Burton |
| 16 | 14 | -2 | Parker Kligerman |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Tyler Dippel |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Tyler Ankrum |
| 19 | 15 | -4 | Sheldon Creed |
| 20 | 7 | -13 | Austin Hill |
| 21 | 27 | +6 | Chase Purdy |
| 22 | 21 | -1 | Kyle Donahue |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | Dawson Cram |
| 25 | 24 | -1 | D.J. Kennington |
| 26 | 26 | — | Jordan Anderson |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Justin Fontaine |
| 28 | 31 | +3 | Brad Foy |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | Jennifer Jo Cobb |
| 30 | 18 | -12 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 31 | 30 | -1 | Tanner Thorson |
| 32 | 20 | -12 | Chad Finley |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Sauter | 1 | 1 | — | — |
| Brett Moffitt | — | 9 | — | — |
| Myatt Snider | — | — | — | — |
| Ben Rhodes | 4 | — | — | — |
| Kyle Benjamin | 5 | — | — | — |
| Justin Haley | 10 | 8 | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | 2 | 2 | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | 9 | 10 | — | — |
| Christian Eckes | — | — | — | — |
| Timothy Peters | 8 | 7 | — | — |
| Stewart Friesen | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | 4 | — | — |
| Matt Crafton | 3 | 5 | — | — |
| Grant Enfinger | 6 | 6 | — | — |
| Jeb Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Parker Kligerman | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Dippel | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Ankrum | 7 | — | — | — |
| Sheldon Creed | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Purdy | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Donahue | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Wayne Self | — | — | — | — |
| Dawson Cram | — | — | — | — |
| D.J. Kennington | — | — | — | — |
| Jordan Anderson | — | — | — | — |
| Justin Fontaine | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Foy | — | — | — | — |
| Jennifer Jo Cobb | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | 3 | — | — |
| Tanner Thorson | — | — | — | — |
| Chad Finley | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Justin Haley | 21.2 | 6 | +15.2 |
| 7 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 7 | +16.0 |
| 12 | Todd Gilliland | 17.1 | 12 | +5.1 |
| 20 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 20 | +0.2 |
| 30 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 30 | -9.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Johnny Sauter: has 33 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 15.0 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Todd Gilliland: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 14.0 avg finish (1 win), finishing P12 on the day.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P23. Track history: 16 starts, 16.1 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 Texas Roadhouse 200?
Johnny Sauter won the 2018 Texas Roadhouse 200 at Martinsville Speedway driving for GMS Racing.
Where was the 2018 Texas Roadhouse 200 held?
The 2018 Texas Roadhouse 200 was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 27, 2018.