NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE
Charlotte Motor Speedway — September 29, 2018
Chase Briscoe
Winner
55
Laps
40
Entries
4
Leaders
Chase Briscoe won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway on September 29, 2018, leading 33 of 55 laps. Justin Marks finished second; Austin Cindric rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 29, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | +8 | Chase Briscoe |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Justin Marks |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Austin Cindric |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Ryan Preece |
| 5 | 13 | +8 | Christopher Bell |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Matt Tifft |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Cole Custer |
| 8 | 14 | +6 | Kaz Grala |
| 9 | 3 | -6 | Tyler Reddick |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Daniel Hemric |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | Ryan Reed |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Ross Chastain |
| 13 | 5 | -8 | Alex Labbe |
| 14 | 17 | +3 | Elliott Sadler |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Justin Allgaier |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Ryan Truex |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 18 | 19 | +1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 19 | 25 | +6 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Michael Annett |
| 21 | 21 | — | Lawson Aschenbach |
| 22 | 22 | — | Brandon Jones |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Joey Gase |
| 24 | 28 | +4 | Josh Bilicki |
| 25 | 36 | +11 | Garrett Smithley |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 27 | 34 | +7 | David Starr |
| 28 | 37 | +9 | Chad Finchum |
| 29 | 35 | +6 | Spencer Boyd |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Dylan Murcott |
| 31 | 40 | +9 | Vinnie Miller |
| 32 | 24 | -8 | Timmy Hill |
| 33 | 26 | -7 | Katherine Legge |
| 34 | 8 | -26 | Ty Majeski |
| 35 | 32 | -3 | Bayley Currey |
| 36 | 27 | -9 | Ryan Sieg |
| 37 | 20 | -17 | Andy Lally |
| 38 | 31 | -7 | Landon Cassill |
| 39 | 39 | — | Jeff Green |
| 40 | 38 | -2 | J.J. Yeley |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 1 | +10.9 |
| 3 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 3 | +12.4 |
| 4 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 4 | +6.1 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 10.7 | 5 | +5.7 |
| 7 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 7 | +15.9 |
| 9 | Tyler Reddick | 6.2 | 9 | -2.8 |
| 12 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 12 | +1.3 |
| 15 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 15 | +3.3 |
| 16 | Ryan Truex | 15.4 | 16 | -0.6 |
| 23 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 23 | +0.4 |
| 24 | Josh Bilicki | 28.6 | 24 | +4.6 |
| 27 | David Starr | 20.9 | 27 | -6.1 |
| 28 | Chad Finchum | 26.4 | 28 | -1.6 |
| 32 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 32 | -8.1 |
| 33 | Katherine Legge | 21.4 | 33 | -11.6 |
| 40 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 40 | -11.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Briscoe: has 13 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 13.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Charlotte Motor Speedway with a 7.7 avg finish (1 win), finishing P9 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P23. Track history: 14 starts, 15.2 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE?
Chase Briscoe won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE at Charlotte Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHARLOTTE was held at Charlotte Motor Speedway on September 29, 2018.