NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS

Kansas Speedway — October 20, 2018

John Hunter Nemechek
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders

John Hunter Nemechek won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS at Kansas Speedway on October 20, 2018, leading 64 of 200 laps. Daniel Hemric finished second; Elliott Sadler rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 20, 2018
Season
2018
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 13 +12 John Hunter Nemechek
2 1 -1 Daniel Hemric
3 11 +8 Elliott Sadler
4 8 +4 Shane Lee
5 6 +1 Tyler Reddick
6 9 +3 Matt Tifft
7 16 +9 Ryan Reed
8 18 +10 Ty Majeski
9 19 +10 Ryan Sieg
10 40 +30 Jeremy Clements
11 14 +3 Ryan Truex
12 27 +15 Alex Labbe
13 23 +10 Garrett Smithley
14 31 +17 Quin Houff
15 20 +5 Joey Gase
16 33 +17 Chad Finchum
17 34 +17 David Starr
18 32 +14 Jairo Avila Jr.
19 35 +16 Spencer Boyd
20 37 +17 Josh Bilicki
21 7 -14 Ryan Preece
22 36 +14 Vinnie Miller
23 29 +6 B.J. McLeod
24 28 +4 Josh Williams
25 22 -3 Ross Chastain
26 10 -16 Cole Custer
27 30 +3 Bobby Earnhardt
28 38 +10 Mike Harmon
29 39 +10 Angela Ruch
30 12 -18 Chase Briscoe
31 25 -6 Timmy Hill
32 24 -8 Stephen Leicht
33 17 -16 Spencer Gallagher
34 26 -8 Jeff Green
35 21 -14 J.J. Yeley
36 5 -31 Brandon Jones
37 2 -35 Christopher Bell
38 3 -35 Justin Allgaier
39 4 -35 Austin Cindric
40 15 -25 Michael Annett
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 17 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 1 +18.1
5 Tyler Reddick 6.2 5 +1.2
11 Ryan Truex 15.4 11 +4.4
15 Joey Gase 23.4 15 +8.4
16 Chad Finchum 26.4 16 +10.4
17 David Starr 20.9 17 +3.9
20 Josh Bilicki 28.6 20 +8.6
21 Ryan Preece 10.1 21 -10.9
23 B.J. McLeod 24.8 23 +1.8
25 Ross Chastain 13.3 25 -11.7
26 Cole Custer 22.9 26 -3.1
30 Chase Briscoe 11.9 30 -18.1
31 Timmy Hill 23.9 31 -7.1
35 J.J. Yeley 28.8 35 -6.2
37 Christopher Bell 10.7 37 -26.3
38 Justin Allgaier 18.3 38 -19.7
39 Austin Cindric 15.4 39 -23.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • John Hunter Nemechek: has 15 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 11.3 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS?
John Hunter Nemechek won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT KANSAS was held at Kansas Speedway on October 20, 2018.