NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI
Homestead-Miami Speedway, November 17, 2018
Tyler Reddick
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
4
Leaders
Tyler Reddick won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 17, 2018, leading 44 of 200 laps. Cole Custer finished second; John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, November 17, 2018
Track
Season
2018
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Tyler Reddick |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Cole Custer |
| 3 | 3 | — | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Daniel Hemric |
| 5 | 5 | — | Austin Cindric |
| 6 | 12 | +6 | Ryan Preece |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 8 | 8 | — | Brandon Jones |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Michael Annett |
| 10 | 9 | -1 | Matt Tifft |
| 11 | 2 | -9 | Christopher Bell |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Ryan Reed |
| 13 | 13 | — | Chase Briscoe |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | Elliott Sadler |
| 15 | 15 | — | Ryan Truex |
| 16 | 23 | +7 | Ross Chastain |
| 17 | 17 | — | Spencer Gallagher |
| 18 | 18 | — | Kaz Grala |
| 19 | 16 | -3 | Jeremy Clements |
| 20 | 21 | +1 | Shane Lee |
| 21 | 20 | -1 | Alex Labbe |
| 22 | 19 | -3 | Ryan Sieg |
| 23 | 26 | +3 | Joey Gase |
| 24 | 27 | +3 | Brandon Brown |
| 25 | 22 | -3 | Max Tullman |
| 26 | 30 | +4 | Tommy Joe Martins |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Garrett Smithley |
| 28 | 34 | +6 | David Starr |
| 29 | 35 | +6 | Quin Houff |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Spencer Boyd |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Chad Finchum |
| 32 | 32 | — | B.J. McLeod |
| 33 | 38 | +5 | Carl Long |
| 34 | 33 | -1 | Caesar Bacarella |
| 35 | 31 | -4 | Timmy Hill |
| 36 | 28 | -8 | J.J. Yeley |
| 37 | 39 | +2 | Angela Ruch |
| 38 | 24 | -14 | Landon Cassill |
| 39 | 40 | +1 | Jeff Green |
| 40 | 37 | -3 | Vinnie Miller |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tyler Reddick | 11.2 | 1 | +10.2 |
| 2 | Cole Custer | 22.0 | 2 | +20.0 |
| 3 | John Hunter Nemechek | 18.3 | 3 | +15.3 |
| 5 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 5 | +10.4 |
| 6 | Ryan Preece | 13.3 | 6 | +7.3 |
| 7 | Justin Allgaier | 17.1 | 7 | +10.1 |
| 11 | Christopher Bell | 9.2 | 11 | -1.8 |
| 13 | Chase Briscoe | 7.8 | 13 | -5.2 |
| 15 | Ryan Truex | 16.9 | 15 | +1.9 |
| 16 | Ross Chastain | 14.5 | 16 | -1.5 |
| 23 | Joey Gase | 22.9 | 23 | -0.1 |
| 28 | David Starr | 21.0 | 28 | -7.0 |
| 31 | Chad Finchum | 28.2 | 31 | -2.8 |
| 32 | B.J. McLeod | 24.7 | 32 | -7.3 |
| 35 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 35 | -11.1 |
| 36 | J.J. Yeley | 28.6 | 36 | -7.4 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Tyler Reddick: has 13 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 8.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Briscoe: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Homestead-Miami Speedway with a 11.2 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P13 on the day.
- Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P22. Track history: 11 starts, 13.1 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI?
Tyler Reddick won the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI at Homestead-Miami Speedway.
Where was the 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI held?
The 2018 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT MIAMI was held at Homestead-Miami Speedway on November 17, 2018.