NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono
Pocono Raceway — July 23, 2022
Chandler Smith
Winner
60
Laps
36
Entries
3
Leaders
Chandler Smith won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway on July 23, 2022, leading 49 of 60 laps. Ryan Preece finished second; John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 23, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Chandler Smith |
| 2 | 22 | +20 | Ryan Preece |
| 3 | 12 | +9 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 4 | 17 | +13 | Corey Heim |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Carson Hocevar |
| 6 | 31 | +25 | Austin Hill |
| 7 | 6 | -1 | Ty Majeski |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Christian Eckes |
| 9 | 7 | -2 | Derek Kraus |
| 10 | 18 | +8 | Tanner Gray |
| 11 | 15 | +4 | Chase Purdy |
| 12 | 16 | +4 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Zane Smith |
| 14 | 4 | -10 | Stewart Friesen |
| 15 | 13 | -2 | Matt Crafton |
| 16 | 14 | -2 | Tyler Ankrum |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | Grant Enfinger |
| 18 | 10 | -8 | Colby Howard |
| 19 | 11 | -8 | Ben Rhodes |
| 20 | 36 | +16 | Tate Fogleman |
| 21 | 27 | +6 | Max Gutierrez |
| 22 | 23 | +1 | Lawless Alan |
| 23 | 9 | -14 | Kaz Grala |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Dean Thompson |
| 25 | 33 | +8 | Kaden Honeycutt |
| 26 | 32 | +6 | Jesse Little |
| 27 | 24 | -3 | Kris Wright |
| 28 | 20 | -8 | Timmy Hill |
| 29 | 28 | -1 | Blaine Perkins |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Tyler Hill |
| 31 | 29 | -2 | Armani Williams |
| 32 | 21 | -11 | Spencer Boyd |
| 33 | 19 | -14 | Hailie Deegan |
| 34 | 30 | -4 | Josh Reaume |
| 35 | 25 | -10 | Jack Wood |
| 36 | 34 | -2 | Todd Bodine |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 2 | +8.1 |
| 3 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 3 | +16.1 |
| 4 | Corey Heim | 20.9 | 4 | +16.9 |
| 5 | Carson Hocevar | 13.1 | 5 | +8.1 |
| 6 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 6 | +14.9 |
| 9 | Derek Kraus | 26.1 | 9 | +17.1 |
| 13 | Zane Smith | 19.1 | 13 | +6.1 |
| 28 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 28 | -4.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chandler Smith: has 5 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Preece: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 11.1 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
- Derek Kraus: was the biggest surprise, finishing P9 vs predicted P26. Track history: 2 starts, 9.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono?
Chandler Smith won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono held?
The 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono was held at Pocono Raceway on July 23, 2022.