NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono

Pocono Raceway — July 23, 2022

Chandler Smith
Winner
60
Laps
36
Entries
3
Leaders

Chandler Smith won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway on July 23, 2022, leading 49 of 60 laps. Ryan Preece finished second; John Hunter Nemechek rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 23, 2022
Season
2022
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Chandler Smith
2 22 +20 Ryan Preece
3 12 +9 John Hunter Nemechek
4 17 +13 Corey Heim
5 3 -2 Carson Hocevar
6 31 +25 Austin Hill
7 6 -1 Ty Majeski
8 5 -3 Christian Eckes
9 7 -2 Derek Kraus
10 18 +8 Tanner Gray
11 15 +4 Chase Purdy
12 16 +4 Matt DiBenedetto
13 1 -12 Zane Smith
14 4 -10 Stewart Friesen
15 13 -2 Matt Crafton
16 14 -2 Tyler Ankrum
17 8 -9 Grant Enfinger
18 10 -8 Colby Howard
19 11 -8 Ben Rhodes
20 36 +16 Tate Fogleman
21 27 +6 Max Gutierrez
22 23 +1 Lawless Alan
23 9 -14 Kaz Grala
24 26 +2 Dean Thompson
25 33 +8 Kaden Honeycutt
26 32 +6 Jesse Little
27 24 -3 Kris Wright
28 20 -8 Timmy Hill
29 28 -1 Blaine Perkins
30 35 +5 Tyler Hill
31 29 -2 Armani Williams
32 21 -11 Spencer Boyd
33 19 -14 Hailie Deegan
34 30 -4 Josh Reaume
35 25 -10 Jack Wood
36 34 -2 Todd Bodine
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Ryan Preece 10.1 2 +8.1
3 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 3 +16.1
4 Corey Heim 20.9 4 +16.9
5 Carson Hocevar 13.1 5 +8.1
6 Austin Hill 20.9 6 +14.9
9 Derek Kraus 26.1 9 +17.1
13 Zane Smith 19.1 13 +6.1
28 Timmy Hill 23.9 28 -4.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chandler Smith: has 5 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.6 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ryan Preece: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 11.1 avg finish, finishing P2 on the day.
  • Derek Kraus: was the biggest surprise, finishing P9 vs predicted P26. Track history: 2 starts, 9.5 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono?
Chandler Smith won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono held?
The 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Pocono was held at Pocono Raceway on July 23, 2022.