NASCAR Truck Series at Phoenix
Phoenix Raceway — November 4, 2022
Zane Smith
Winner
154
Laps
35
Entries
7
Leaders
Zane Smith won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway on November 4, 2022, leading 77 of 154 laps. Ben Rhodes finished second; Chandler Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Zane Smith |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Ben Rhodes |
| 3 | 12 | +9 | Chandler Smith |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 5 | 5 | — | Stewart Friesen |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Grant Enfinger |
| 7 | 3 | -4 | Corey Heim |
| 8 | 4 | -4 | Tanner Gray |
| 9 | 15 | +6 | Kaden Honeycutt |
| 10 | 22 | +12 | Carson Hocevar |
| 11 | 23 | +12 | Derek Kraus |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Matt Crafton |
| 13 | 2 | -11 | Layne Riggs |
| 14 | 24 | +10 | Tyler Ankrum |
| 15 | 20 | +5 | Colby Howard |
| 16 | 17 | +1 | Jake Garcia |
| 17 | 21 | +4 | Taylor Gray |
| 18 | 32 | +14 | Lawless Alan |
| 19 | 19 | — | Chase Purdy |
| 20 | 8 | -12 | Ty Majeski |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Dean Thompson |
| 22 | 11 | -11 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | Tyler Hill |
| 24 | 30 | +6 | Austin Wayne Self |
| 25 | 25 | — | Blaine Perkins |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Chris Hacker |
| 27 | 29 | +2 | Timmy Hill |
| 28 | 27 | -1 | Johnny Sauter |
| 29 | 16 | -13 | Jack Wood |
| 30 | 7 | -23 | Christian Eckes |
| 31 | 14 | -17 | Hailie Deegan |
| 32 | 18 | -14 | Rajah Caruth |
| 33 | 33 | — | Spencer Boyd |
| 34 | 34 | — | Keith McGee |
| 35 | 35 | — | Armani Williams |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 6 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zane Smith | 20.2 | 1 | +19.2 |
| 4 | John Hunter Nemechek | 20.1 | 4 | +16.1 |
| 7 | Corey Heim | 20.1 | 7 | +13.1 |
| 10 | Carson Hocevar | 14.7 | 10 | +4.7 |
| 11 | Derek Kraus | 22.2 | 11 | +11.2 |
| 27 | Timmy Hill | 24.3 | 27 | -2.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Zane Smith: has 8 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 20.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Carson Hocevar: was the model’s top pick based on 10 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 20.7 avg finish, finishing P10 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Phoenix?
Zane Smith won the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Phoenix held?
The 2022 NASCAR Truck Series at Phoenix was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 4, 2022.