NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas
Kansas Speedway — September 10, 2022
Noah Gragson
Winner
93
Laps
38
Entries
4
Leaders
Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway on September 10, 2022, leading 20 of 93 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Ty Gibbs rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 10, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Noah Gragson |
| 2 | 9 | +7 | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 2 | -1 | Ty Gibbs |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Brandon Jones |
| 5 | 15 | +10 | Ross Chastain |
| 6 | 4 | -2 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 7 | 10 | +3 | Josh Berry |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Sammy Smith |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Sam Mayer |
| 10 | 16 | +6 | Brett Moffitt |
| 11 | 3 | -8 | Sheldon Creed |
| 12 | 6 | -6 | Austin Hill |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Landon Cassill |
| 14 | 13 | -1 | Ryan Sieg |
| 15 | 7 | -8 | Daniel Hemric |
| 16 | 12 | -4 | Riley Herbst |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Brandon Brown |
| 18 | 22 | +4 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | Myatt Snider |
| 20 | 37 | +17 | Kris Wright |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 22 | 28 | +6 | J.J. Yeley |
| 23 | 31 | +8 | David Starr |
| 24 | 29 | +5 | Josh Williams |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Rajah Caruth |
| 26 | 34 | +8 | Stefan Parsons |
| 27 | 35 | +8 | Derek Griffith |
| 28 | 25 | -3 | Howie DiSavino III |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | Dillon Bassett |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Joey Gase |
| 31 | 24 | -7 | Mason Massey |
| 32 | 33 | +1 | Garrett Smithley |
| 33 | 38 | +5 | Ryan Vargas |
| 34 | 32 | -2 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 35 | 23 | -12 | Bayley Currey |
| 36 | 18 | -18 | Jesse Iwuji |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Brennan Poole |
| 38 | 19 | -19 | Jeb Burton |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Noah Gragson | 21.4 | 1 | +20.4 |
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 2 | +16.3 |
| 3 | Ty Gibbs | 14.5 | 3 | +11.5 |
| 5 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 5 | +8.3 |
| 6 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 6 | +12.3 |
| 7 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 7 | +15.9 |
| 12 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 12 | +8.9 |
| 16 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 16 | +5.4 |
| 18 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 22 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 22 | +6.8 |
| 23 | David Starr | 20.9 | 23 | -2.1 |
| 30 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 30 | -6.6 |
| 37 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 37 | -12.3 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Noah Gragson: has 16 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 20.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 13.9 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P5 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas?
Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Kansas was held at Kansas Speedway on September 10, 2022.