NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas

Las Vegas Motor Speedway — October 15, 2022

Josh Berry
Winner
201
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders

Josh Berry won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 15, 2022, leading 65 of 201 laps. Noah Gragson finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 15, 2022
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 12 +11 Josh Berry
2 4 +2 Noah Gragson
3 10 +7 Justin Allgaier
4 3 -1 Ty Gibbs
5 2 -3 Trevor Bayne
6 8 +2 Austin Hill
7 5 -2 Sam Mayer
8 6 -2 Daniel Hemric
9 7 -2 Brandon Jones
10 21 +11 Anthony Alfredo
11 15 +4 Landon Cassill
12 22 +10 Nick Sanchez
13 20 +7 Hailie Deegan
14 26 +12 Kyle Weatherman
15 14 -1 Jeremy Clements
16 11 -5 John Hunter Nemechek
17 16 -1 Jeb Burton
18 36 +18 Riley Herbst
19 23 +4 Myatt Snider
20 18 -2 Rajah Caruth
21 27 +6 Parker Retzlaff
22 1 -21 A.J. Allmendinger
23 17 -6 Stefan Parsons
24 31 +7 Kris Wright
25 25 Garrett Smithley
26 38 +12 Kyle Sieg
27 32 +5 Jeffrey Earnhardt
28 35 +7 Ryan Vargas
29 29 Mason Massey
30 34 +4 C.J. McLaughlin
31 37 +6 David Starr
32 30 -2 Matt Jaskol
33 24 -9 Bayley Currey
34 28 -6 Josh Williams
35 33 -2 Matt Mills
36 19 -17 J.J. Yeley
37 9 -28 Sheldon Creed
38 13 -25 Ryan Sieg
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Josh Berry 22.9 1 +21.9
2 Noah Gragson 21.4 2 +19.4
3 Justin Allgaier 18.3 3 +15.3
4 Ty Gibbs 14.5 4 +10.5
6 Austin Hill 20.9 6 +14.9
10 Anthony Alfredo 20.9 10 +10.9
16 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 16 +3.1
18 Riley Herbst 21.4 18 +3.4
22 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 22 -3.7
31 David Starr 20.9 31 -10.1
36 J.J. Yeley 28.8 36 -7.2

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Josh Berry: has 11 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Ty Gibbs: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P4 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas?
Josh Berry won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 15, 2022.