NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville
Martinsville Speedway — October 29, 2022
Ty Gibbs
Winner
269
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders
Ty Gibbs won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway on October 29, 2022, leading 102 of 269 laps. Sheldon Creed finished second; Riley Herbst rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 29, 2022
Track
Season
2022
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Ty Gibbs |
| 2 | 2 | — | Sheldon Creed |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Riley Herbst |
| 4 | 5 | +1 | Noah Gragson |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 22 | +16 | Sam Mayer |
| 7 | 24 | +17 | Nick Sanchez |
| 8 | 37 | +29 | Daniel Hemric |
| 9 | 36 | +27 | Austin Hill |
| 10 | 23 | +13 | Blaine Perkins |
| 11 | 11 | — | Jeb Burton |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Rajah Caruth |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Alex Labbe |
| 14 | 14 | — | Myatt Snider |
| 15 | 15 | — | Derek Griffith |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 17 | 10 | -7 | Jeremy Clements |
| 18 | 3 | -15 | Sammy Smith |
| 19 | 27 | +8 | Brandon Brown |
| 20 | 13 | -7 | Josh Berry |
| 21 | 7 | -14 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 22 | 33 | +11 | Josh Williams |
| 23 | 1 | -22 | Brandon Jones |
| 24 | 34 | +10 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 25 | 32 | +7 | Mason Massey |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Kris Wright |
| 27 | 12 | -15 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 28 | 19 | -9 | Howie DiSavino III |
| 29 | 29 | — | Ryan Vargas |
| 30 | 38 | +8 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 31 | 25 | -6 | Stefan Parsons |
| 32 | 30 | -2 | Patrick Emerling |
| 33 | 17 | -16 | Ryan Sieg |
| 34 | 28 | -6 | J.J. Yeley |
| 35 | 26 | -9 | Matt Mills |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Chad Finchum |
| 37 | 16 | -21 | Landon Cassill |
| 38 | 20 | -18 | Bayley Currey |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 1 | +11.6 |
| 3 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 3 | +19.1 |
| 4 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 4 | +19.0 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 5 | +12.7 |
| 9 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 9 | +11.2 |
| 16 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 16 | +2.3 |
| 20 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 20 | -1.0 |
| 21 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 21 | +1.0 |
| 34 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 34 | -5.9 |
| 36 | Chad Finchum | 22.1 | 36 | -13.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ty Gibbs: has 10 career starts at Martinsville Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Riley Herbst: was the biggest surprise, finishing P3 vs predicted P22. Track history: 11 starts, 17.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville?
Ty Gibbs won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville at Martinsville Speedway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Martinsville was held at Martinsville Speedway on October 29, 2022.