NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix
Phoenix Raceway — November 5, 2022
Ty Gibbs
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
5
Leaders
Ty Gibbs won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway on November 5, 2022, leading 125 of 200 laps. Noah Gragson finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Ty Gibbs |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Noah Gragson |
| 3 | 11 | +8 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Landon Cassill |
| 5 | 16 | +11 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 6 | 8 | +2 | Sheldon Creed |
| 7 | 19 | +12 | Riley Herbst |
| 8 | 10 | +2 | Daniel Hemric |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Austin Hill |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Sammy Smith |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Brandon Jones |
| 12 | 3 | -9 | Nick Sanchez |
| 13 | 9 | -4 | Josh Berry |
| 14 | 35 | +21 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 15 | 30 | +15 | Josh Williams |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Jeb Burton |
| 17 | 37 | +20 | Rajah Caruth |
| 18 | 33 | +15 | Alex Labbe |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Bayley Currey |
| 20 | 7 | -13 | Ryan Sieg |
| 21 | 17 | -4 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 22 | 22 | — | Kyle Sieg |
| 23 | 18 | -5 | Kaz Grala |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Joey Gase |
| 25 | 36 | +11 | Myatt Snider |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Kris Wright |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Jeremy Clements |
| 28 | 15 | -13 | Stefan Parsons |
| 29 | 26 | -3 | Brennan Poole |
| 30 | 29 | -1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Dawson Cram |
| 32 | 24 | -8 | B.J. McLeod |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Mason Massey |
| 34 | 13 | -21 | Sam Mayer |
| 35 | 23 | -12 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 36 | 38 | +2 | Joe Graf Jr. |
| 37 | 27 | -10 | Brandon Brown |
| 38 | 12 | -26 | Dillon Bassett |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 1 | +11.6 |
| 2 | Noah Gragson | 23.0 | 2 | +21.0 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 3 | +14.7 |
| 5 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 5 | +13.3 |
| 7 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 7 | +15.1 |
| 9 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 9 | +11.2 |
| 13 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 13 | +6.0 |
| 24 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 24 | -2.0 |
| 29 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 29 | -5.9 |
| 30 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 30 | -1.9 |
| 32 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 32 | -6.4 |
| 35 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 35 | -13.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ty Gibbs: has 9 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 12.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Noah Gragson: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 13 starts, 17.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix?
Ty Gibbs won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway.
Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix held?
The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 5, 2022.