NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix

Phoenix Raceway — March 12, 2022

Noah Gragson

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway on March 12, 2022, leading 114 of 200 laps. Brandon Jones finished second; Josh Berry rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, March 12, 2022

Track

Phoenix Raceway

Season

2022

Winner

Noah Gragson

Leaders

6 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	2	+1	Noah Gragson	200	—	Running	114	59
2	5	+3	Brandon Jones	200	—	Running	30	51
3	8	+5	Josh Berry	200	—	Running	—	42
4	1	-3	Trevor Bayne	200	—	Running	38	50
5	11	+6	John Hunter Nemechek	200	—	Running	11	0
6	3	-3	Ty Gibbs	200	—	Running	—	37
7	17	+10	A.J. Allmendinger	200	—	Running	—	37
8	15	+7	Daniel Hemric	200	—	Running	—	32
9	22	+13	Landon Cassill	200	—	Running	—	34
10	24	+14	Justin Allgaier	200	—	Running	5	41
11	4	-7	Ryan Sieg	199	—	Running	2	26
12	16	+4	Jeb Burton	199	—	Running	—	25
13	26	+13	Brandon Brown	199	—	Running	—	24
14	9	-5	Sheldon Creed	199	—	Running	—	23
15	18	+3	Brett Moffitt	199	—	Running	—	22
16	35	+19	Ryan Ellis	199	—	Running	—	21
17	12	-5	Austin Hill	199	—	Running	—	20
18	14	-4	Jeremy Clements	199	—	Running	—	19
19	23	+4	Alex Labbe	199	—	Running	—	18
20	13	-7	Bayley Currey	199	—	Running	—	17
21	19	-2	Stefan Parsons	198	—	Running	—	16
22	7	-15	Sam Mayer	198	—	Running	—	17
23	31	+8	Mason Massey	198	—	Running	—	14
24	25	+1	Myatt Snider	198	—	Running	—	13
25	32	+7	J.J. Yeley	198	—	Running	—	12
26	28	+2	Nick Sanchez	198	—	Running	—	11
27	36	+9	Joe Graf Jr.	197	—	Running	—	10
28	33	+5	Jade Buford	197	—	Running	—	9
29	38	+9	Ryan Vargas	197	—	Running	—	8
30	10	-20	Kyle Weatherman	197	—	Running	—	7
31	29	-2	David Starr	196	—	Running	—	6
32	20	-12	Kyle Sieg	196	—	Running	—	5
33	27	-6	Kaz Grala	196	—	Running	—	0
34	34	—	Jeffrey Earnhardt	196	—	Running	—	3
35	30	-5	Josh Williams	178	—	Running	—	2
36	6	-30	Parker Retzlaff	158	—	DNF	—	1
37	37	—	Anthony Alfredo	147	—	DNF	—	1
38	21	-17	Riley Herbst	20	—	DNF	—	1

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Noah Gragson	23.0	1	+22.0	High Confidence
3	Josh Berry	19.0	3	+16.0	Moderate
5	John Hunter Nemechek	20.1	5	+15.1	Moderate
6	Ty Gibbs	12.6	6	+6.6	Coinflip
7	A.J. Allmendinger	18.3	7	+11.3	Moderate
10	Justin Allgaier	17.7	10	+7.7	Moderate
17	Austin Hill	20.2	17	+3.2	Moderate
25	J.J. Yeley	28.1	25	+3.1	High Confidence
31	David Starr	20.2	31	-10.8	Moderate
37	Anthony Alfredo	22.0	37	-15.0	High Confidence
38	Riley Herbst	22.1	38	-15.9	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Noah Gragson: has 13 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 17.8 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Ty Gibbs: was the model’s top pick based on 9 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 12.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P6 on the day.

Track Preview →

Explore More

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix?

Noah Gragson won the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway.

Where was the 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix held?

The 2022 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix was held at Phoenix Raceway on March 12, 2022.