NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas

Las Vegas Motor Speedway — October 14, 2023

Riley Herbst
Winner
201
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders

Riley Herbst won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 14, 2023, leading 103 of 201 laps. John Hunter Nemechek finished second; Cole Custer rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 14, 2023
Season
2023
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 8 +7 Riley Herbst
2 38 +36 John Hunter Nemechek
3 2 -1 Cole Custer
4 4 Chandler Smith
5 14 +9 Sam Mayer
6 7 +1 Justin Allgaier
7 10 +3 Austin Hill
8 13 +5 Brandon Jones
9 6 -3 Daniel Hemric
10 9 -1 Layne Riggs
11 19 +8 Myatt Snider
12 1 -11 Josh Berry
13 11 -2 Parker Kligerman
14 5 -9 Parker Retzlaff
15 15 Sheldon Creed
16 17 +1 Ryan Sieg
17 3 -14 Sammy Smith
18 24 +6 Kyle Sieg
19 28 +9 Connor Mosack
20 25 +5 Ryan Reed
21 23 +2 Daniel Dye
22 18 -4 Jeb Burton
23 35 +12 Rajah Caruth
24 27 +3 Brett Moffitt
25 34 +9 Brennan Poole
26 29 +3 Stefan Parsons
27 32 +5 Ryan Ellis
28 31 +3 Blaine Perkins
29 37 +8 C.J. McLaughlin
30 16 -14 Jeremy Clements
31 21 -10 Dawson Cram
32 36 +4 Joey Gase
33 26 -7 Josh Williams
34 20 -14 Anthony Alfredo
35 22 -13 Kaz Grala
36 12 -24 Kyle Weatherman
37 30 -7 Joe Graf Jr.
38 33 -5 Patrick Emerling
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Riley Herbst 21.4 1 +20.4
2 John Hunter Nemechek 19.1 2 +17.1
3 Cole Custer 22.9 3 +19.9
6 Justin Allgaier 18.3 6 +12.3
7 Austin Hill 20.9 7 +13.9
12 Josh Berry 22.9 12 +10.9
21 Daniel Dye 19.1 21 -1.9
25 Brennan Poole 24.7 25 -0.3
32 Joey Gase 23.4 32 -8.6
34 Anthony Alfredo 20.9 34 -13.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Riley Herbst: has 14 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 16.2 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 26 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 10.2 avg finish (1 win), finishing P6 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas?
Riley Herbst won the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2023 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 14, 2023.