NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas

Las Vegas Motor Speedway, October 19, 2024

A.J. Allmendinger
Winner
201
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders

A.J. Allmendinger won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 19, 2024, leading 102 of 201 laps. Ryan Sieg finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 19, 2024
Season
2024
Leaders
9 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 9 +8 A.J. Allmendinger
2 10 +8 Ryan Sieg
3 6 +3 Justin Allgaier
4 3 -1 Chandler Smith
5 11 +6 Parker Kligerman
6 8 +2 Jesse Love
7 7 Riley Herbst
8 2 -6 Cole Custer
9 38 +29 Sheldon Creed
10 17 +7 Austin Hill
11 14 +3 Corey Heim
12 30 +18 Daniel Dye
13 12 -1 Aric Almirola
14 4 -10 Sam Mayer
15 23 +8 Josh Williams
16 24 +8 Matt DiBenedetto
17 1 -16 Brandon Jones
18 19 +1 Jeremy Clements
19 18 -1 Anthony Alfredo
20 27 +7 Kyle Weatherman
21 32 +11 Brennan Poole
22 20 -2 Parker Retzlaff
23 33 +10 Myatt Snider
24 15 -9 Jeb Burton
25 28 +3 J.J. Yeley
26 22 -4 Kyle Sieg
27 21 -6 Dylan Lupton
28 34 +6 Ryan Ellis
29 31 +2 Garrett Smithley
30 36 +6 Joey Gase
31 35 +4 Blaine Perkins
32 5 -27 Sammy Smith
33 13 -20 Taylor Gray
34 29 -5 Ryan Vargas
35 37 +2 Akinori Ogata
36 26 -10 Dawson Cram
37 25 -12 Leland Honeyman Jr.
38 16 -22 Shane van Gisbergen
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 13 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.5 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 A.J. Allmendinger 17.1 1 +16.1
3 Justin Allgaier 17.1 3 +14.1
6 Jesse Love 21.0 6 +15.0
7 Riley Herbst 19.9 7 +12.9
8 Cole Custer 22.0 8 +14.0
10 Austin Hill 26.4 10 +16.4
11 Corey Heim 14.5 11 +3.5
12 Daniel Dye 21.4 12 +9.4
19 Anthony Alfredo 21.4 19 +2.4
21 Brennan Poole 23.4 21 +2.4
25 J.J. Yeley 28.6 25 +3.6
30 Joey Gase 22.9 30 -7.1
38 Shane van Gisbergen 18.3 38 -19.7

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • A.J. Allmendinger: has 22 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 16.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Corey Heim: was the model’s top pick based on 5 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 6.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P11 on the day.
  • Austin Hill: was the biggest surprise, finishing P10 vs predicted P26. Track history: 18 starts, 10.1 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas?
A.J. Allmendinger won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 19, 2024.