NASCAR Xfinity Series at Indianapolis

Indianapolis Motor Speedway — July 20, 2024

Riley Herbst
Winner
100
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders

Riley Herbst won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Indianapolis at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 20, 2024, leading 30 of 100 laps. Cole Custer finished second; Aric Almirola rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 20, 2024
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Riley Herbst
2 1 -1 Cole Custer
3 3 Aric Almirola
4 23 +19 Shane van Gisbergen
5 12 +7 Sheldon Creed
6 14 +8 Austin Hill
7 22 +15 Daniel Dye
8 8 A.J. Allmendinger
9 9 Justin Allgaier
10 7 -3 Carson Kvapil
11 27 +16 Ryan Sieg
12 38 +26 Parker Kligerman
13 15 +2 Jesse Love
14 16 +2 Conor Daly
15 6 -9 Brandon Jones
16 29 +13 Matt DiBenedetto
17 17 Joe Graf Jr.
18 21 +3 Sammy Smith
19 11 -8 Jeb Burton
20 25 +5 Leland Honeyman Jr.
21 30 +9 Brennan Poole
22 31 +9 Kyle Sieg
23 34 +11 Ryan Ellis
24 35 +11 Joey Gase
25 28 +3 Kyle Weatherman
26 36 +10 David Starr
27 32 +5 Josh Bilicki
28 33 +5 B.J. McLeod
29 24 -5 Blaine Perkins
30 18 -12 Jeremy Clements
31 26 -5 Garrett Smithley
32 37 +5 Greg Van Alst
33 13 -20 Chandler Smith
34 5 -29 Anthony Alfredo
35 20 -15 Parker Retzlaff
36 19 -17 Josh Williams
37 4 -33 Sam Mayer
38 10 -28 Josh Berry
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Riley Herbst 21.4 1 +20.4
2 Cole Custer 22.9 2 +20.9
4 Shane van Gisbergen 18.3 4 +14.3
6 Austin Hill 20.9 6 +14.9
7 Daniel Dye 19.1 7 +12.1
8 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 8 +10.3
9 Justin Allgaier 18.3 9 +9.3
13 Jesse Love 21.4 13 +8.4
21 Brennan Poole 24.7 21 +3.7
24 Joey Gase 23.4 24 -0.6
26 David Starr 20.9 26 -5.1
27 Josh Bilicki 28.6 27 +1.6
28 B.J. McLeod 24.8 28 -3.2
34 Anthony Alfredo 20.9 34 -13.1
38 Josh Berry 22.9 38 -15.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Cole Custer: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 4 starts, 4.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Indianapolis?
Riley Herbst won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Indianapolis at Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Indianapolis held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Indianapolis was held at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 20, 2024.