NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono

Pocono Raceway — July 13, 2024

Cole Custer
Winner
90
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders

Cole Custer won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway on July 13, 2024, leading 25 of 90 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; William Byron rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 13, 2024
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 8 +7 Cole Custer
2 3 +1 Justin Allgaier
3 6 +3 William Byron
4 1 -3 Sheldon Creed
5 4 -1 Taylor Gray
6 10 +4 A.J. Allmendinger
7 11 +4 Austin Hill
8 15 +7 Parker Kligerman
9 9 Sammy Smith
10 12 +2 Sam Mayer
11 18 +7 Riley Herbst
12 7 -5 Ryan Sieg
13 2 -11 Brandon Jones
14 16 +2 Anthony Alfredo
15 5 -10 Chandler Smith
16 25 +9 Corey Heim
17 20 +3 Daniel Dye
18 22 +4 Josh Williams
19 34 +15 Ryan Truex
20 33 +13 Kyle Sieg
21 17 -4 Jeb Burton
22 19 -3 Jesse Love
23 21 -2 Kyle Weatherman
24 23 -1 Matt DiBenedetto
25 28 +3 Leland Honeyman Jr.
26 27 +1 Brennan Poole
27 14 -13 Josh Berry
28 37 +9 Thomas Annunziata
29 31 +2 Mason Massey
30 24 -6 Jeremy Clements
31 26 -5 Shane van Gisbergen
32 13 -19 Parker Retzlaff
33 32 -1 Patrick Emerling
34 35 +1 Blaine Perkins
35 38 +3 Stephen Mallozzi
36 30 -6 Ryan Ellis
37 29 -8 Josh Bilicki
38 36 -2 Dawson Cram
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.5 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Cole Custer 22.9 1 +21.9
2 Justin Allgaier 18.3 2 +16.3
3 William Byron 10.7 3 +7.7
6 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 6 +12.3
7 Austin Hill 20.9 7 +13.9
11 Riley Herbst 21.4 11 +10.4
14 Anthony Alfredo 20.9 14 +6.9
16 Corey Heim 20.9 16 +4.9
17 Daniel Dye 19.1 17 +2.1
19 Ryan Truex 15.4 19 -3.6
22 Jesse Love 21.4 22 -0.6
26 Brennan Poole 24.7 26 -1.3
27 Josh Berry 22.9 27 -4.1
31 Shane van Gisbergen 18.3 31 -12.7
37 Josh Bilicki 28.6 37 -8.4

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Cole Custer: has 12 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 13.1 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • William Byron: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Pocono Raceway with a 11.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P3 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono?
Cole Custer won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono at Pocono Raceway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Pocono was held at Pocono Raceway on July 13, 2024.