NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond
Richmond Raceway — March 30, 2024
Chandler Smith
Winner
250
Laps
38
Entries
7
Leaders
Chandler Smith won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway on March 30, 2024, leading 76 of 250 laps. Aric Almirola finished second; Taylor Gray rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 30, 2024
Track
Season
2024
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Chandler Smith |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Aric Almirola |
| 3 | 27 | +24 | Taylor Gray |
| 4 | 6 | +2 | Corey Heim |
| 5 | 8 | +3 | Jesse Love |
| 6 | 37 | +31 | Bubba Pollard |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Parker Kligerman |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Austin Hill |
| 9 | 13 | +4 | Sammy Smith |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | Cole Custer |
| 11 | 5 | -6 | Justin Allgaier |
| 12 | 26 | +14 | Josh Williams |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Riley Herbst |
| 14 | 7 | -7 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 16 | 1 | -15 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 17 | 23 | +6 | Kyle Weatherman |
| 18 | 31 | +13 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Josh Bilicki |
| 20 | 25 | +5 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 21 | 36 | +15 | Garrett Smithley |
| 22 | 32 | +10 | Logan Bearden |
| 23 | 34 | +11 | Kyle Sieg |
| 24 | 17 | -7 | Jeremy Clements |
| 25 | 33 | +8 | Dawson Cram |
| 26 | 21 | -5 | Jeb Burton |
| 27 | 22 | -5 | Ryan Ellis |
| 28 | 19 | -9 | Brennan Poole |
| 29 | 18 | -11 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 30 | 11 | -19 | Sam Mayer |
| 31 | 24 | -7 | Hailie Deegan |
| 32 | 15 | -17 | Ryan Sieg |
| 33 | 28 | -5 | Blaine Perkins |
| 34 | 38 | +4 | Joey Gase |
| 35 | 20 | -15 | Sheldon Creed |
| 36 | 35 | -1 | Patrick Emerling |
| 37 | 2 | -35 | Brandon Jones |
| 38 | 30 | -8 | Ryan Vargas |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.6 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Corey Heim | 20.1 | 4 | +16.1 |
| 5 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 5 | +16.0 |
| 8 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 8 | +12.2 |
| 10 | Cole Custer | 23.0 | 10 | +13.0 |
| 11 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 11 | +6.7 |
| 13 | Riley Herbst | 22.1 | 13 | +9.1 |
| 14 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 14 | +4.3 |
| 15 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 15 | +3.3 |
| 19 | Josh Bilicki | 29.4 | 19 | +10.4 |
| 28 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 28 | -4.9 |
| 29 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 29 | -7.0 |
| 34 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 34 | -12.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chandler Smith: has 7 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 6.4 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 11.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P11 on the day.
- Corey Heim: was the biggest surprise, finishing P4 vs predicted P20. Track history: 6 starts, 10.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond?
Chandler Smith won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond at Richmond Raceway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Richmond was held at Richmond Raceway on March 30, 2024.