NASCAR Xfinity Series at Sonoma

Sonoma Raceway — June 8, 2024

Shane van Gisbergen
Winner
79
Laps
38
Entries
3
Leaders

Shane van Gisbergen won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway on June 8, 2024, leading 32 of 79 laps. Sheldon Creed finished second; Sam Mayer rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, June 8, 2024
Season
2024
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Shane van Gisbergen
2 9 +7 Sheldon Creed
3 8 +5 Sam Mayer
4 22 +18 Austin Green
5 3 -2 Austin Hill
6 5 -1 Justin Allgaier
7 11 +4 Chandler Smith
8 7 -1 John Hunter Nemechek
9 12 +3 Cole Custer
10 14 +4 Parker Kligerman
11 13 +2 Parker Retzlaff
12 6 -6 Jesse Love
13 15 +2 Riley Herbst
14 33 +19 Brennan Poole
15 17 +2 Ed Jones
16 31 +15 Josh Bilicki
17 4 -13 A.J. Allmendinger
18 21 +3 Blaine Perkins
19 19 Alex Labbe
20 18 -2 Ryan Sieg
21 36 +15 Matt DiBenedetto
22 23 +1 Jeremy Clements
23 32 +9 Kyle Sieg
24 30 +6 Brad Perez
25 24 -1 Preston Pardus
26 34 +8 Ryan Ellis
27 38 +11 Garrett Smithley
28 35 +7 Boris Said
29 29 Leland Honeyman Jr.
30 25 -5 Kyle Weatherman
31 16 -15 Anthony Alfredo
32 37 +5 Hailie Deegan
33 10 -23 Sammy Smith
34 26 -8 Thomas Annunziata
35 2 -33 Ty Gibbs
36 20 -16 Jeb Burton
37 28 -9 Josh Williams
38 27 -11 Brandon Jones
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 12.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Shane van Gisbergen 12.7 1 +11.7
5 Austin Hill 21.4 5 +16.4
6 Justin Allgaier 16.8 6 +10.8
8 John Hunter Nemechek 25.7 8 +17.7
9 Cole Custer 25.7 9 +16.7
12 Jesse Love 21.4 12 +9.4
13 Riley Herbst 25.7 13 +12.7
14 Brennan Poole 21.4 14 +7.4
16 Josh Bilicki 29.0 16 +13.0
17 A.J. Allmendinger 16.5 17 -0.5
31 Anthony Alfredo 21.4 31 -9.6
35 Ty Gibbs 17.2 35 -17.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Shane van Gisbergen: has 3 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 1.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
  • John Hunter Nemechek: was the biggest surprise, finishing P8 vs predicted P26. Track history: 5 starts, 18.2 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Sonoma?
Shane van Gisbergen won the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway.
Where was the 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Sonoma held?
The 2024 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Sonoma was held at Sonoma Raceway on June 8, 2024.