Toyota/Save Mart 350

Sonoma Raceway — July 13, 2025

Shane van Gisbergen
Winner
110
Laps
37
Entries
6
Leaders

Shane van Gisbergen won the 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway on July 13, 2025, leading 97 of 110 laps. Chase Briscoe finished second; Chase Elliott rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, July 13, 2025
Season
2025
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Shane van Gisbergen
2 2 Chase Briscoe
3 13 +10 Chase Elliott
4 15 +11 Michael McDowell
5 10 +5 Christopher Bell
6 8 +2 Tyler Reddick
7 6 -1 Ty Gibbs
8 3 -5 William Byron
9 22 +13 Joey Logano
10 17 +7 Kyle Busch
11 21 +10 Brad Keselowski
12 20 +8 Ryan Preece
13 25 +12 Josh Berry
14 19 +5 Daniel Suarez
15 29 +14 Justin Haley
16 14 -2 Chris Buescher
17 26 +9 Ty Dillon
18 5 -13 A.J. Allmendinger
19 9 -10 Alex Bowman
20 16 -4 Denny Hamlin
21 33 +12 Austin Dillon
22 35 +13 Todd Gilliland
23 27 +4 Cole Custer
24 4 -20 Ross Chastain
25 28 +3 Riley Herbst
26 30 +4 Bubba Wallace
27 12 -15 Zane Smith
28 18 -10 John Hunter Nemechek
29 31 +2 Erik Jones
30 24 -6 Austin Cindric
31 37 +6 Katherine Legge
32 23 -9 Carson Hocevar
33 34 +1 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
34 36 +2 Cody Ware
35 11 -24 Kyle Larson
36 7 -29 Ryan Blaney
37 32 -5 Noah Gragson
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Shane van Gisbergen 2 1 19
Chase Briscoe 7 6 9
Ty Dillon 6 7 9
Kyle Busch 3 8
William Byron 5 10 7
Chris Buescher 8 3
Ty Gibbs 9 9 2
Chase Elliott 10 10 1
Michael McDowell
Christopher Bell
Tyler Reddick
Joey Logano
Brad Keselowski
Ryan Preece
Josh Berry
Daniel Suarez
Justin Haley
A.J. Allmendinger
Alex Bowman
Denny Hamlin
Austin Dillon
Todd Gilliland
Cole Custer
Ross Chastain
Riley Herbst
Bubba Wallace
Zane Smith
John Hunter Nemechek
Erik Jones
Austin Cindric
Katherine Legge
Carson Hocevar
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
Cody Ware
Kyle Larson
Ryan Blaney
Noah Gragson
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 37 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.0 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Shane van Gisbergen 12.7 1 +11.7
2 Chase Briscoe 16.7 2 +14.7
3 Chase Elliott 7.2 3 +4.2
4 Michael McDowell 13.0 4 +9.0
5 Christopher Bell 7.2 5 +2.2
6 Tyler Reddick 11.2 6 +5.2
7 Ty Gibbs 17.2 7 +10.2
8 William Byron 11.5 8 +3.5
9 Joey Logano 12.7 9 +3.7
10 Kyle Busch 13.0 10 +3.0
11 Brad Keselowski 16.7 11 +5.7
12 Ryan Preece 16.5 12 +4.5
13 Josh Berry 28.4 13 +15.4
14 Daniel Suarez 16.8 14 +2.8
15 Justin Haley 25.7 15 +10.7
16 Chris Buescher 10.2 16 -5.8
17 Ty Dillon 21.4 17 +4.4
18 A.J. Allmendinger 16.5 18 -1.5
19 Alex Bowman 16.7 19 -2.3
20 Denny Hamlin 16.7 20 -3.3

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Shane van Gisbergen: has 3 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 1.3 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 8.9 avg finish, finishing P3 on the day.
  • Josh Berry: was the biggest surprise, finishing P13 vs predicted P28. Track history: 3 starts, 26.7 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350?
Shane van Gisbergen won the 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 at Sonoma Raceway driving for Trackhouse Racing.
Where was the 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 held?
The 2025 Toyota/Save Mart 350 was held at Sonoma Raceway on July 13, 2025.