NASCAR Cup Series Championship
Phoenix Raceway — November 2, 2025
Ryan Blaney
Winner
319
Laps
35
Entries
6
Leaders
Ryan Blaney won the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship at Phoenix Raceway on November 2, 2025, leading 20 of 319 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, November 2, 2025
Track
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Ryan Blaney |
| 2 | 19 | +17 | Brad Keselowski |
| 3 | 3 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Joey Logano |
| 5 | 11 | +6 | Kyle Busch |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Denny Hamlin |
| 7 | 7 | — | Josh Berry |
| 8 | 37 | +29 | Michael McDowell |
| 9 | 21 | +12 | Ryan Preece |
| 10 | 17 | +7 | Chase Elliott |
| 11 | 9 | -2 | Chris Buescher |
| 12 | 8 | -4 | Alex Bowman |
| 13 | 4 | -9 | Austin Cindric |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Christopher Bell |
| 15 | 15 | — | Erik Jones |
| 16 | 16 | — | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | Ty Gibbs |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Chase Briscoe |
| 19 | 14 | -5 | Daniel Suarez |
| 20 | 31 | +11 | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 22 | 30 | +8 | Todd Gilliland |
| 23 | 32 | +9 | Riley Herbst |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Cole Custer |
| 26 | 24 | -2 | Tyler Reddick |
| 27 | 18 | -9 | Noah Gragson |
| 28 | 6 | -22 | Carson Hocevar |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Zane Smith |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Cody Ware |
| 31 | 28 | -3 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 32 | 35 | +3 | J.J. Yeley |
| 33 | 2 | -31 | William Byron |
| 35 | 34 | -1 | Ty Dillon |
| 36 | 36 | — | Casey Mears |
| 37 | 23 | -14 | Bubba Wallace |
| 38 | 38 | — | A.J. Allmendinger |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Blaney | 2 | 2 | — | 18 |
| Austin Cindric | 4 | 4 | — | 7 |
| Joey Logano | 8 | 8 | — | 6 |
| Christopher Bell | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Alex Bowman | 7 | 7 | — | 4 |
| Chris Buescher | 9 | 9 | — | 2 |
| Chase Elliott | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Larson | 5 | 4 | — | — |
| Kyle Busch | — | — | — | — |
| Denny Hamlin | 3 | 1 | — | — |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Erik Jones | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Gibbs | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | 10 | 7 | — | — |
| Daniel Suarez | — | — | — | — |
| Shane van Gisbergen | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Riley Herbst | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| Tyler Reddick | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Carson Hocevar | — | — | — | — |
| Zane Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Casey Mears | — | — | — | — |
| Bubba Wallace | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 35 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ryan Blaney | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 2 | +10.0 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 3 | +5.6 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | 12.1 | 4 | +8.1 |
| 5 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 5 | +10.6 |
| 6 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 6 | +0.8 |
| 7 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 7 | +12.0 |
| 8 | Michael McDowell | 15.0 | 8 | +7.0 |
| 9 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 9 | +1.8 |
| 10 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 10 | -1.7 |
| 11 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 11 | -0.7 |
| 12 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 12 | +2.0 |
| 13 | Austin Cindric | 17.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| 14 | Christopher Bell | 8.6 | 14 | -5.4 |
| 15 | Erik Jones | 17.7 | 15 | +2.7 |
| 16 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 20.1 | 16 | +4.1 |
| 17 | Ty Gibbs | 12.6 | 17 | -4.4 |
| 18 | Chase Briscoe | 12.6 | 18 | -5.4 |
| 19 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 19 | -3.4 |
| 20 | Shane van Gisbergen | 18.3 | 20 | -1.7 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ryan Blaney: has 20 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 7.8 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Josh Berry: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P19. Track history: 9 starts, 13.2 avg finish.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship?
Ryan Blaney won the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship at Phoenix Raceway driving for Team Penske.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship held?
The 2025 NASCAR Cup Series Championship was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 2, 2025.