NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol

Bristol Motor Speedway — September 12, 2025

Aric Almirola
Winner
300
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders

Aric Almirola won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 12, 2025, leading 34 of 300 laps. Sheldon Creed finished second; Sam Mayer rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Friday, September 12, 2025
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 3 +2 Aric Almirola
2 10 +8 Sheldon Creed
3 2 -1 Sam Mayer
4 11 +7 Carson Kvapil
5 4 -1 Connor Zilisch
6 1 -5 Justin Allgaier
7 7 Harrison Burton
8 12 +4 Christian Eckes
9 26 +17 Jeremy Clements
10 18 +8 Brennan Poole
11 22 +11 Brandon Jones
12 16 +4 Dean Thompson
13 20 +7 Nick Sanchez
14 5 -9 Taylor Gray
15 6 -9 William Sawalich
16 15 -1 Parker Retzlaff
17 17 Corey Day
18 19 +1 Jeb Burton
19 21 +2 Austin Hill
20 28 +8 Brenden Queen
21 30 +9 Kyle Sieg
22 27 +5 Anthony Alfredo
23 8 -15 Ryan Sieg
24 25 +1 Matt DiBenedetto
25 9 -16 Jesse Love
26 31 +5 Daniel Dye
27 24 -3 Jeffrey Earnhardt
28 33 +5 Josh Williams
29 32 +3 Josh Bilicki
30 34 +4 Logan Bearden
31 37 +6 Austin Green
32 23 -9 Leland Honeyman Jr.
33 35 +2 Carson Ware
34 38 +4 Blaine Perkins
35 36 +1 Joey Gase
36 13 -23 Stefan Parsons
37 14 -23 Sammy Smith
38 29 -9 Ryan Ellis
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.4 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
5 Connor Zilisch 21.2 5 +16.2
6 Justin Allgaier 17.7 6 +11.7
10 Brennan Poole 23.1 10 +13.1
19 Austin Hill 20.2 19 +1.2
22 Anthony Alfredo 22.0 22 0.0
25 Jesse Love 21.0 25 -4.0
26 Daniel Dye 19.0 26 -7.0
29 Josh Bilicki 29.4 29 +0.4
35 Joey Gase 22.0 35 -13.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Aric Almirola: has 31 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 20.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Bristol Motor Speedway with a 11.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P6 on the day.
  • Connor Zilisch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P21. Track history: 5 starts, 14.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol?
Aric Almirola won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol at Bristol Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Bristol was held at Bristol Motor Speedway on September 12, 2025.