NASCAR Xfinity Series at Dover

Dover Motor Speedway — July 19, 2025

Connor Zilisch

Winner

134

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Connor Zilisch won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Dover at Dover Motor Speedway on July 19, 2025, leading 77 of 134 laps. Aric Almirola finished second; Brandon Jones rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, July 19, 2025

Track

Dover Motor Speedway

Season

2025

Winner

Connor Zilisch

Leaders

4 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	3	+2	Connor Zilisch	134	—	Running	77	57
2	6	+4	Aric Almirola	134	—	Running	—	53
3	4	+1	Brandon Jones	134	—	Running	5	51
4	7	+3	Justin Allgaier	134	—	Running	—	44
5	12	+7	Jesse Love	134	—	Running	—	38
6	19	+13	Ryan Sieg	134	—	Running	—	37
7	1	-6	Taylor Gray	134	—	Running	49	40
8	11	+3	Sheldon Creed	134	—	Running	—	33
9	8	-1	William Sawalich	134	—	Running	—	33
10	31	+21	Christian Eckes	134	—	Running	—	27
11	9	-2	Harrison Burton	134	—	Running	—	26
12	13	+1	Sam Mayer	134	—	Running	—	25
13	15	+2	Austin Hill	134	—	Running	—	25
14	18	+4	Matt DiBenedetto	134	—	Running	—	23
15	14	-1	Carson Kvapil	134	—	Running	—	22
16	20	+4	Dean Thompson	134	—	Running	—	21
17	21	+4	Jake Finch	134	—	Running	—	20
18	32	+14	Ryan Truex	134	—	Running	—	19
19	27	+8	Parker Retzlaff	134	—	Running	—	18
20	10	-10	Jeb Burton	134	—	Running	—	17
21	30	+9	Daniel Dye	134	—	Running	—	16
22	16	-6	Rajah Caruth	134	—	Running	—	0
23	26	+3	Anthony Alfredo	134	—	Running	—	14
24	17	-7	Sammy Smith	134	—	Running	—	13
25	23	-2	Brennan Poole	134	—	Running	—	12
26	28	+2	Jeremy Clements	134	—	Running	—	11
27	29	+2	Josh Williams	134	—	Running	—	10
28	22	-6	Lavar Scott	134	—	Running	—	9
29	25	-4	Leland Honeyman Jr.	133	—	Running	—	8
30	34	+4	Ryan Ellis	131	—	Running	—	7
31	36	+5	Kaz Grala	131	—	Running	—	0
32	24	-8	Blaine Perkins	131	—	Running	—	5
33	38	+5	Nick Leitz	131	—	Running	—	4
34	33	-1	Josh Bilicki	131	—	Running	—	3
35	37	+2	Garrett Smithley	131	—	Running	—	2
36	35	-1	Kyle Sieg	131	—	Running	3	1
37	2	-35	Nick Sanchez	107	—	DNF	—	6
38	5	-33	Ross Chastain	106	—	DNF	—	0

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Connor Zilisch	21.2	1	+20.2	High Confidence
4	Justin Allgaier	17.7	4	+13.7	Moderate
5	Jesse Love	21.0	5	+16.0	High Confidence
13	Austin Hill	20.2	13	+7.2	Moderate
18	Ryan Truex	15.6	18	-2.4	Coinflip
21	Daniel Dye	19.0	21	-2.0	Moderate
23	Anthony Alfredo	22.0	23	-1.0	High Confidence
25	Brennan Poole	23.1	25	-1.9	High Confidence
34	Josh Bilicki	29.4	34	-4.6	High Confidence
38	Ross Chastain	13.8	38	-24.2	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.