NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas
Las Vegas Motor Speedway — October 11, 2025
Aric Almirola
Winner
201
Laps
38
Entries
9
Leaders
Aric Almirola won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 11, 2025, leading 107 of 201 laps. Connor Zilisch finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race featured 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 11, 2025
Track
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Aric Almirola |
| 2 | 2 | — | Connor Zilisch |
| 3 | 1 | -2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 19 | +15 | Corey Day |
| 5 | 5 | — | Nick Sanchez |
| 6 | 6 | — | Jesse Love |
| 7 | 14 | +7 | Ryan Sieg |
| 8 | 8 | — | Taylor Gray |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | Sam Mayer |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Austin Hill |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Sheldon Creed |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | William Sawalich |
| 13 | 3 | -10 | Brandon Jones |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Harrison Burton |
| 15 | 9 | -6 | Carson Kvapil |
| 16 | 13 | -3 | Daniel Hemric |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Daniel Dye |
| 18 | 7 | -11 | Christian Eckes |
| 19 | 17 | -2 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Sammy Smith |
| 21 | 24 | +3 | Kyle Sieg |
| 22 | 26 | +4 | Trevor Bayne |
| 23 | 27 | +4 | Josh Williams |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 25 | 31 | +6 | Brennan Poole |
| 26 | 22 | -4 | Jeb Burton |
| 27 | 28 | +1 | Blaine Perkins |
| 28 | 23 | -5 | Dean Thompson |
| 29 | 38 | +9 | Ryan Ellis |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 31 | 33 | +2 | Austin Green |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Garrett Smithley |
| 33 | 35 | +2 | Mason Maggio |
| 34 | 34 | — | Nick Leitz |
| 35 | 32 | -3 | Joey Gase |
| 36 | 21 | -15 | Jeremy Clements |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Mason Massey |
| 38 | 29 | -9 | Thomas Annunziata |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.9 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Connor Zilisch | 22.9 | 2 | +20.9 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 3 | +15.3 |
| 6 | Jesse Love | 21.4 | 6 | +15.4 |
| 10 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 10 | +10.9 |
| 17 | Daniel Dye | 19.1 | 17 | +2.1 |
| 24 | Anthony Alfredo | 20.9 | 24 | -3.1 |
| 25 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 25 | -0.3 |
| 35 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 35 | -11.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Aric Almirola: has 30 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 16.4 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 26 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 10.2 avg finish (1 win), finishing P3 on the day.
- Connor Zilisch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P23. Track history: 4 starts, 12.5 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas?
Aric Almirola won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas at Las Vegas Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Las Vegas was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 11, 2025.