NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix
Phoenix Raceway — November 1, 2025
Jesse Love
Winner
200
Laps
38
Entries
6
Leaders
Jesse Love won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway on November 1, 2025, leading 35 of 200 laps. Aric Almirola finished second; Connor Zilisch rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, November 1, 2025
Track
Season
2025
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | +5 | Jesse Love |
| 2 | 7 | +5 | Aric Almirola |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Connor Zilisch |
| 4 | 1 | -3 | Brandon Jones |
| 5 | 5 | — | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 18 | +12 | Sammy Smith |
| 7 | 2 | -5 | Taylor Gray |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | Sheldon Creed |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | Austin Hill |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Justin Bonsignore |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Harrison Burton |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Kyle Sieg |
| 13 | 14 | +1 | Carson Kvapil |
| 14 | 15 | +1 | Corey Day |
| 15 | 8 | -7 | Nick Sanchez |
| 16 | 21 | +5 | Christian Eckes |
| 17 | 9 | -8 | Dean Thompson |
| 18 | 24 | +6 | Brennan Poole |
| 19 | 20 | +1 | Brenden Queen |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Nick Leitz |
| 21 | 30 | +9 | Ryan Ellis |
| 22 | 22 | — | Connor Mosack |
| 23 | 27 | +4 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 25 | 23 | -2 | Blaine Perkins |
| 26 | 37 | +11 | Josh Williams |
| 27 | 19 | -8 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Daniel Dye |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | Stefan Parsons |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Joey Gase |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Garrett Smithley |
| 32 | 26 | -6 | Josh Bilicki |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Glen Reen |
| 35 | 31 | -4 | Patrick Emerling |
| 36 | 38 | +2 | Dawson Cram |
| 37 | 10 | -27 | Ryan Sieg |
| 38 | 11 | -27 | Jeb Burton |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesse Love | 21.0 | 1 | +20.0 |
| 3 | Connor Zilisch | 21.2 | 3 | +18.2 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 5 | +12.7 |
| 9 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 9 | +11.2 |
| 18 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 18 | +5.1 |
| 23 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 23 | -1.0 |
| 28 | Daniel Dye | 19.0 | 28 | -9.0 |
| 30 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 30 | -8.0 |
| 32 | Josh Bilicki | 29.4 | 32 | -2.6 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Jesse Love: has 6 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 4.0 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 15 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 10.3 avg finish (1 win), finishing P5 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix?
Jesse Love won the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway.
Where was the 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix held?
The 2025 NASCAR Xfinity Series at Phoenix was held at Phoenix Raceway on November 1, 2025.