America 250 Florida Duel 2
Daytona International Speedway, February 12, 2026
Chase Elliott
Winner
60
Laps
12
Lead Changes
10
Leaders
Chase Elliott won the 2026 America 250 Florida Duel 2 at Daytona International Speedway on February 12, 2026, leading 9 of 60 laps. Carson Hocevar finished second; Kyle Larson rounded out the podium. The race had 12 lead changes among 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Thursday, February 12, 2026
Season
2026
Winner
Lead Changes
12
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | +3 | Chase Elliott |
| 2 | 14 | +12 | Carson Hocevar |
| 3 | 3 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 4 | 10 | +6 | Michael McDowell |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Christopher Bell |
| 6 | 13 | +7 | Josh Berry |
| 7 | 19 | +12 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 8 | 16 | +8 | Todd Gilliland |
| 9 | 5 | -4 | Ty Gibbs |
| 10 | 2 | -8 | Denny Hamlin |
| 11 | 12 | +1 | Erik Jones |
| 12 | 20 | +8 | Tyler Reddick |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Riley Herbst |
| 14 | 9 | -5 | Zane Smith |
| 15 | 11 | -4 | Connor Zilisch |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Ty Dillon |
| 17 | 8 | -9 | Austin Cindric |
| 18 | 17 | -1 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 20 | 1 | -19 | Chase Briscoe |
| 21 | 7 | -14 | Justin Allgaier |
| 22 | 22 | — | J.J. Yeley |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 22 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.7 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chase Elliott | 13.6 | 1 | +12.6 |
| 2 | Carson Hocevar | 17.4 | 2 | +15.4 |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 20.1 | 3 | +17.1 |
| 4 | Michael McDowell | 19.2 | 4 | +15.2 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | 15.1 | 5 | +10.1 |
| 6 | Josh Berry | 24.0 | 6 | +18.0 |
| 7 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 18.5 | 7 | +11.5 |
| 8 | Todd Gilliland | 22.9 | 8 | +14.9 |
| 9 | Ty Gibbs | 18.9 | 9 | +9.9 |
| 10 | Denny Hamlin | 15.1 | 10 | +5.1 |
| 11 | Erik Jones | 16.0 | 11 | +5.0 |
| 12 | Tyler Reddick | 13.9 | 12 | +1.9 |
| 13 | Riley Herbst | 24.0 | 13 | +11.0 |
| 14 | Zane Smith | 23.4 | 14 | +9.4 |
| 15 | Connor Zilisch | 23.4 | 15 | +8.4 |
| 16 | Ty Dillon | 22.9 | 16 | +6.9 |
| 17 | Austin Cindric | 19.4 | 17 | +2.4 |
| 18 | Anthony Alfredo | 23.4 | 18 | +5.4 |
| 19 | B.J. McLeod | 25.5 | 19 | +6.5 |
| 20 | Chase Briscoe | 20.5 | 20 | +0.5 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Chase Elliott: has 32 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.2 avg finish (2 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Josh Berry: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P24. Track history: 12 starts, 19.8 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 America 250 Florida Duel 2?
Chase Elliott won the 2026 America 250 Florida Duel 2 at Daytona International Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2026 America 250 Florida Duel 2 held?
The 2026 America 250 Florida Duel 2 was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 12, 2026.