FireKeepers Casino 400
Michigan International Speedway — June 7, 2026
Denny Hamlin
Winner
200
Laps
23
Lead Changes
11
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway on June 7, 2026, leading 40 of 200 laps. Erik Jones finished second; Bubba Wallace rounded out the podium. The race had 23 lead changes among 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Sunday, June 7, 2026
Season
2026
Winner
Lead Changes
23
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 10 | +8 | Erik Jones |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Bubba Wallace |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Carson Hocevar |
| 6 | 11 | +5 | Daniel Suarez |
| 7 | 18 | +11 | Joey Logano |
| 8 | 19 | +11 | Ryan Blaney |
| 9 | 14 | +5 | Chris Buescher |
| 10 | 5 | -5 | Chase Briscoe |
| 11 | 31 | +20 | Austin Cindric |
| 12 | 15 | +3 | Cole Custer |
| 13 | 12 | -1 | Riley Herbst |
| 14 | 17 | +3 | John Hunter Nemechek |
| 15 | 37 | +22 | Josh Berry |
| 16 | 32 | +16 | Ross Chastain |
| 17 | 25 | +8 | A.J. Allmendinger |
| 18 | 9 | -9 | William Byron |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Alex Bowman |
| 20 | 28 | +8 | Austin Hill |
| 21 | 36 | +15 | J.J. Yeley |
| 22 | 35 | +13 | Todd Gilliland |
| 23 | 33 | +10 | Cody Ware |
| 24 | 24 | — | Ty Dillon |
| 25 | 4 | -21 | Ty Gibbs |
| 26 | 20 | -6 | Michael McDowell |
| 27 | 22 | -5 | Noah Gragson |
| 28 | 27 | -1 | Ryan Preece |
| 29 | 23 | -6 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. |
| 30 | 30 | — | Shane van Gisbergen |
| 31 | 8 | -23 | Christopher Bell |
| 32 | 6 | -26 | Chase Elliott |
| 33 | 16 | -17 | Zane Smith |
| 34 | 26 | -8 | Brad Keselowski |
| 35 | 3 | -32 | Tyler Reddick |
| 36 | 21 | -15 | Austin Dillon |
| 37 | 34 | -3 | Connor Zilisch |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Elliott | 4 | 1 | — | 17 |
| Carson Hocevar | 3 | 7 | — | 12 |
| Kyle Larson | 7 | 4 | — | 11 |
| Tyler Reddick | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Erik Jones | — | 2 | — | 9 |
| Daniel Suarez | 10 | 3 | — | 9 |
| Ty Gibbs | 2 | — | — | 9 |
| Bubba Wallace | 5 | — | — | 6 |
| William Byron | — | 5 | — | 6 |
| Zane Smith | 6 | 10 | — | 6 |
| Christopher Bell | — | 6 | — | 5 |
| Denny Hamlin | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Chris Buescher | 8 | — | — | 3 |
| Joey Logano | — | 9 | — | 2 |
| Riley Herbst | 9 | — | — | 2 |
| Ryan Blaney | — | — | — | — |
| Chase Briscoe | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Cindric | — | — | — | — |
| Cole Custer | — | — | — | — |
| John Hunter Nemechek | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Berry | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | — | — | — | — |
| A.J. Allmendinger | — | — | — | — |
| Alex Bowman | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Hill | — | — | — | — |
| J.J. Yeley | — | — | — | — |
| Todd Gilliland | — | — | — | — |
| Cody Ware | — | — | — | — |
| Ty Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Michael McDowell | — | — | — | — |
| Noah Gragson | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Preece | — | — | — | — |
| Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | — | — | — | — |
| Shane van Gisbergen | — | — | — | — |
| Brad Keselowski | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Dillon | — | — | — | — |
| Connor Zilisch | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 37 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.1 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 8.2 | 1 | +7.2 |
| 2 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 2 | +14.7 |
| 3 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 3 | +9.7 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 4 | +8.7 |
| 5 | Carson Hocevar | 13.1 | 5 | +8.1 |
| 6 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 6 | +8.0 |
| 7 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 7 | +7.7 |
| 8 | Ryan Blaney | 9.2 | 8 | +1.2 |
| 9 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 9 | +0.2 |
| 10 | Chase Briscoe | 11.9 | 10 | +1.9 |
| 11 | Austin Cindric | 15.4 | 11 | +4.4 |
| 12 | Cole Custer | 22.9 | 12 | +10.9 |
| 13 | Riley Herbst | 21.4 | 13 | +8.4 |
| 14 | John Hunter Nemechek | 19.1 | 14 | +5.1 |
| 15 | Josh Berry | 22.9 | 15 | +7.9 |
| 16 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 16 | -2.7 |
| 17 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.3 | 17 | +1.3 |
| 18 | William Byron | 10.7 | 18 | -7.3 |
| 19 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 19 | -5.5 |
| 20 | Austin Hill | 20.9 | 20 | +0.9 |
(showing top 20 finishers)
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 42 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 10.6 avg finish (6 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Tyler Reddick: was the model’s top pick based on 13 career starts at Michigan International Speedway with a 17.8 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P35 on the day.
- Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P23 vs predicted P56. Track history: 5 starts, 27.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400?
Denny Hamlin won the 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 at Michigan International Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 held?
The 2026 FireKeepers Casino 400 was held at Michigan International Speedway on June 7, 2026.