Hollywood Casino 400

Kansas Speedway, September 27, 2026

Kyle Larson
Winner
267
Laps
13
Lead Changes
7
Leaders

Kyle Larson won the 2026 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway on September 27, 2026, leading 235 of 267 laps. Austin Cindric finished second; Denny Hamlin rounded out the podium. The race had 13 lead changes among 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, September 27, 2026
Season
2026
Winner
Lead Changes
13
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 2 +1 Kyle Larson
2 11 +9 Austin Cindric
3 6 +3 Denny Hamlin
4 23 +19 Chase Briscoe
5 25 +20 Ryan Blaney
6 3 -3 Christopher Bell
7 8 +1 William Byron
8 18 +10 Chase Elliott
9 7 -2 Bubba Wallace
10 9 -1 Ryan Preece
11 15 +4 Tyler Reddick
12 16 +4 Brad Keselowski
13 26 +13 John Hunter Nemechek
14 14 — Daniel Suarez
15 13 -2 Ross Chastain
16 30 +14 Erik Jones
17 5 -12 Ty Gibbs
18 33 +15 Alex Bowman
19 20 +1 Todd Gilliland
20 1 -19 Joey Logano
21 19 -2 Austin Dillon
22 24 +2 A.J. Allmendinger
23 12 -11 Chris Buescher
24 17 -7 Shane van Gisbergen
25 34 +9 Riley Herbst
26 32 +6 Austin Hill
27 22 -5 Michael McDowell
28 36 +8 Ty Dillon
29 27 -2 Connor Zilisch
30 29 -1 Cole Custer
31 28 -3 Zane Smith
32 31 -1 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
33 4 -29 Carson Hocevar
34 35 +1 Cody Ware
35 10 -25 Josh Berry
36 21 -15 Noah Gragson
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Kyle Larson 1 1 — 20
Austin Cindric 3 2 — 17
Denny Hamlin 2 3 — 17
Christopher Bell 5 5 — 12
William Byron 7 6 — 9
Joey Logano 6 8 — 8
Chase Briscoe — 4 — 7
Carson Hocevar 4 — — 7
Ryan Blaney 10 7 — 5
Ty Gibbs 9 9 — 4
Chase Elliott 8 — — 3
Brad Keselowski — 10 — 1
Bubba Wallace — — — —
Ryan Preece — — — —
Tyler Reddick — — — —
John Hunter Nemechek — — — —
Daniel Suarez — — — —
Ross Chastain — — — —
Erik Jones — — — —
Alex Bowman — — — —
Todd Gilliland — — — —
Austin Dillon — — — —
A.J. Allmendinger — — — —
Chris Buescher — — — —
Shane van Gisbergen — — — —
Riley Herbst — — — —
Austin Hill — — — —
Michael McDowell — — — —
Ty Dillon — — — —
Connor Zilisch — — — —
Cole Custer — — — —
Zane Smith — — — —
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. — — — —
Cody Ware — — — —
Josh Berry — — — —
Noah Gragson — — — —
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 36 matched drivers, the model averaged 6.3 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Good

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Larson 11.2 1 +10.2
2 Austin Cindric 14.0 2 +12.0
3 Denny Hamlin 6.2 3 +3.2
4 Chase Briscoe 9.2 4 +5.2
5 Ryan Blaney 8.2 5 +3.2
6 Christopher Bell 7.8 6 +1.8
7 William Byron 11.9 7 +4.9
8 Chase Elliott 12.7 8 +4.7
9 Bubba Wallace 10.7 9 +1.7
10 Ryan Preece 13.1 10 +3.1
11 Tyler Reddick 10.7 11 -0.3
12 Brad Keselowski 15.4 12 +3.4
13 John Hunter Nemechek 18.3 13 +5.3
14 Daniel Suarez 13.3 14 -0.7
15 Ross Chastain 14.5 15 -0.5
16 Erik Jones 16.2 16 +0.2
17 Ty Gibbs 9.2 17 -7.8
18 Alex Bowman 15.4 18 -2.6
19 Todd Gilliland 18.3 19 -0.7
20 Joey Logano 10.1 20 -9.9

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Larson: has 27 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.4 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 41 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 12.2 avg finish (5 wins), finishing P3 on the day.
  • Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P34 vs predicted P58. Track history: 10 starts, 32.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2026 Hollywood Casino 400?
Kyle Larson won the 2026 Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2026 Hollywood Casino 400 held?
The 2026 Hollywood Casino 400 was held at Kansas Speedway on September 27, 2026.