South Point 400

Las Vegas Motor Speedway, October 4, 2026

Chase Briscoe
Winner
267
Laps
12
Lead Changes
7
Leaders

Chase Briscoe won the 2026 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 4, 2026, leading 175 of 267 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Tyler Reddick rounded out the podium. The race had 12 lead changes among 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Sunday, October 4, 2026
Season
2026
Winner
Lead Changes
12
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 4 +3 Chase Briscoe
2 6 +4 Kyle Larson
3 5 +2 Tyler Reddick
4 7 +3 Austin Cindric
5 20 +15 Ryan Blaney
6 8 +2 William Byron
7 13 +6 Chase Elliott
8 9 +1 Bubba Wallace
9 25 +16 Shane van Gisbergen
10 23 +13 Joey Logano
11 15 +4 Alex Bowman
12 10 -2 Carson Hocevar
13 14 +1 Chris Buescher
14 11 -3 Daniel Suarez
15 19 +4 A.J. Allmendinger
16 1 -15 Denny Hamlin
17 2 -15 Ty Gibbs
18 22 +4 Riley Herbst
19 28 +9 Austin Dillon
20 36 +16 Noah Gragson
21 18 -3 Michael McDowell
22 33 +11 Austin Hill
23 3 -20 Christopher Bell
24 16 -8 Brad Keselowski
25 21 -4 Erik Jones
26 35 +9 Josh Berry
27 24 -3 Cole Custer
28 12 -16 Ryan Preece
29 32 +3 John Hunter Nemechek
30 17 -13 Ross Chastain
31 29 -2 Ty Dillon
32 26 -6 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
33 27 -6 Todd Gilliland
34 34 — Cody Ware
35 31 -4 Connor Zilisch
36 30 -6 Zane Smith
Stage Results
Driver Stage 1 Stage 2 Stage 3 Stage Pts
Chase Briscoe 1 1 — 20
Christopher Bell 2 3 — 17
Austin Cindric 5 2 — 15
Ryan Blaney 3 4 — 15
Bubba Wallace 7 5 — 10
Tyler Reddick 4 — — 7
Joey Logano — 6 — 5
Daniel Suarez 6 — — 5
Chase Elliott — 7 — 4
William Byron — 8 — 3
Carson Hocevar 8 — — 3
Alex Bowman 9 — — 2
Chris Buescher — 9 — 2
Kyle Larson — 10 — 1
Michael McDowell 10 — — 1
Shane van Gisbergen — — — —
A.J. Allmendinger — — — —
Denny Hamlin — — — —
Ty Gibbs — — — —
Riley Herbst — — — —
Austin Dillon — — — —
Noah Gragson — — — —
Austin Hill — — — —
Brad Keselowski — — — —
Erik Jones — — — —
Josh Berry — — — —
Cole Custer — — — —
Ryan Preece — — — —
John Hunter Nemechek — — — —
Ross Chastain — — — —
Ty Dillon — — — —
Ricky Stenhouse Jr. — — — —
Todd Gilliland — — — —
Cody Ware — — — —
Connor Zilisch — — — —
Zane Smith — — — —
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 36 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Chase Briscoe 9.2 1 +8.2
2 Kyle Larson 10.1 2 +8.1
3 Tyler Reddick 10.7 3 +7.7
4 Austin Cindric 13.3 4 +9.3
5 Ryan Blaney 8.2 5 +3.2
6 William Byron 11.2 6 +5.2
7 Chase Elliott 11.9 7 +4.9
8 Bubba Wallace 10.7 8 +2.7
9 Shane van Gisbergen 19.1 9 +10.1
10 Joey Logano 11.2 10 +1.2
11 Alex Bowman 15.4 11 +4.4
12 Carson Hocevar 14.0 12 +2.0
13 Chris Buescher 12.7 13 -0.3
14 Daniel Suarez 13.2 14 -0.8
15 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 15 +3.3
16 Denny Hamlin 6.2 16 -9.8
17 Ty Gibbs 9.2 17 -7.8
18 Riley Herbst 22.9 18 +4.9
19 Austin Dillon 17.1 19 -1.9
20 Noah Gragson 22.9 20 +2.9

(showing top 20 finishers)

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Chase Briscoe: has 19 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 14.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 36 career starts at Las Vegas Motor Speedway with a 12.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P16 on the day.
  • Cody Ware: was the biggest surprise, finishing P34 vs predicted P58. Track history: 13 starts, 32.0 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2026 South Point 400?
Chase Briscoe won the 2026 South Point 400 at Las Vegas Motor Speedway driving for Joe Gibbs Racing.
Where was the 2026 South Point 400 held?
The 2026 South Point 400 was held at Las Vegas Motor Speedway on October 4, 2026.