BetRivers 200
Dover Motor Speedway, May 16, 2026
Corey Day
Winner
200
Laps
12
Lead Changes
10
Leaders
Corey Day won the 2026 BetRivers 200 at Dover Motor Speedway on May 16, 2026, leading 4 of 200 laps. Justin Allgaier finished second; Sam Mayer rounded out the podium. The race had 12 lead changes among 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, May 16, 2026
Track
Season
2026
Winner
Lead Changes
12
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | +2 | Corey Day |
| 2 | 13 | +11 | Justin Allgaier |
| 3 | 6 | +3 | Sam Mayer |
| 4 | 8 | +4 | William Sawalich |
| 5 | 17 | +12 | Austin Hill |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Brandon Jones |
| 7 | 7 | — | Carson Kvapil |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Ryan Sieg |
| 9 | 18 | +9 | Sammy Smith |
| 10 | 27 | +17 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 11 | 20 | +9 | Brennan Poole |
| 12 | 26 | +14 | Austin Green |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Ross Chastain |
| 14 | 4 | -10 | Rajah Caruth |
| 15 | 21 | +6 | Jeremy Clements |
| 16 | 9 | -7 | Harrison Burton |
| 17 | 24 | +7 | Kyle Sieg |
| 18 | 12 | -6 | Sheldon Creed |
| 19 | 31 | +12 | Andrew Patterson |
| 20 | 22 | +2 | Dean Thompson |
| 21 | 28 | +7 | Patrick Staropoli |
| 22 | 16 | -6 | Brent Crews |
| 23 | 10 | -13 | Jesse Love |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | Myatt Snider |
| 25 | 32 | +7 | Ryan Ellis |
| 26 | 33 | +7 | Blake Lothian |
| 27 | 34 | +7 | Josh Bilicki |
| 28 | 35 | +7 | Dawson Cram |
| 29 | 19 | -10 | B.J. McLeod |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | C.J. McLaughlin |
| 31 | 30 | -1 | Garrett Smithley |
| 32 | 5 | -27 | Taylor Gray |
| 33 | 38 | +5 | David Starr |
| 34 | 29 | -5 | Blaine Perkins |
| 35 | 36 | +1 | Logan Bearden |
| 36 | 23 | -13 | Lavar Scott |
| 37 | 15 | -22 | Jeb Burton |
| 38 | 14 | -24 | Parker Retzlaff |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rajah Caruth | 5 | 2 | — | 15 |
| Taylor Gray | 4 | 3 | — | 15 |
| Sam Mayer | 3 | 5 | — | 14 |
| Brandon Jones | 1 | — | — | 10 |
| Carson Kvapil | 6 | 6 | — | 10 |
| Jesse Love | 9 | 4 | — | 9 |
| Corey Day | 8 | 7 | — | 7 |
| William Sawalich | 7 | 9 | — | 6 |
| Justin Allgaier | 10 | 8 | — | 4 |
| Ryan Sieg | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Austin Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Sammy Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Alfredo | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Green | — | — | — | — |
| Ross Chastain | 2 | 1 | — | — |
| Jeremy Clements | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Sieg | — | — | — | — |
| Sheldon Creed | — | — | — | — |
| Andrew Patterson | — | — | — | — |
| Dean Thompson | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Staropoli | — | — | — | — |
| Brent Crews | — | — | — | — |
| Myatt Snider | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Ellis | — | — | — | — |
| Blake Lothian | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Dawson Cram | — | — | — | — |
| B.J. McLeod | — | — | — | — |
| C.J. McLaughlin | — | — | — | — |
| Garrett Smithley | — | — | — | — |
| David Starr | — | — | — | — |
| Blaine Perkins | — | — | — | — |
| Logan Bearden | — | — | — | — |
| Lavar Scott | — | — | — | — |
| Jeb Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Parker Retzlaff | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.4 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Justin Allgaier | 18.0 | 2 | +16.0 |
| 5 | Austin Hill | 20.2 | 5 | +15.2 |
| 10 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 10 | +12.0 |
| 11 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 11 | +12.1 |
| 13 | Ross Chastain | 12.6 | 13 | -0.4 |
| 16 | Harrison Burton | 25.7 | 16 | +9.7 |
| 23 | Jesse Love | 21.2 | 23 | -1.8 |
| 27 | Josh Bilicki | 27.3 | 27 | +0.3 |
| 29 | B.J. McLeod | 25.7 | 29 | -3.3 |
| 33 | David Starr | 20.2 | 33 | -12.8 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Ross Chastain: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Dover Motor Speedway with a 22.7 avg finish, finishing P13 on the day.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P18. Track history: 2 starts, 3.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 BetRivers 200?
Corey Day won the 2026 BetRivers 200 at Dover Motor Speedway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2026 BetRivers 200 held?
The 2026 BetRivers 200 was held at Dover Motor Speedway on May 16, 2026.