GOVX 200
Phoenix Raceway, March 7, 2026
Justin Allgaier
Winner
200
Laps
20
Lead Changes
9
Leaders
Justin Allgaier won the 2026 GOVX 200 at Phoenix Raceway on March 7, 2026, leading 11 of 200 laps. Jesse Love finished second; Carson Kvapil rounded out the podium. The race had 20 lead changes among 9 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, March 7, 2026
Track
Season
2026
Winner
Lead Changes
20
Leaders
9 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | +16 | Justin Allgaier |
| 2 | 2 | — | Jesse Love |
| 3 | 14 | +11 | Carson Kvapil |
| 4 | 16 | +12 | Sheldon Creed |
| 5 | 12 | +7 | Sam Mayer |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Sammy Smith |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Jeb Burton |
| 8 | 25 | +17 | Rajah Caruth |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Corey Day |
| 10 | 4 | -6 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 11 | 21 | +10 | Jeremy Clements |
| 12 | 13 | +1 | Austin Hill |
| 13 | 6 | -7 | William Byron |
| 14 | 31 | +17 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 15 | 1 | -14 | Taylor Gray |
| 16 | 3 | -13 | Brandon Jones |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | Ryan Sieg |
| 18 | 5 | -13 | Brent Crews |
| 19 | 35 | +16 | Joey Gase |
| 20 | 29 | +9 | Daniel Dye |
| 21 | 24 | +3 | Chandler Smith |
| 22 | 27 | +5 | Austin Green |
| 23 | 11 | -12 | Harrison Burton |
| 24 | 10 | -14 | Kyle Sieg |
| 25 | 23 | -2 | Dean Thompson |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | Patrick Staropoli |
| 27 | 20 | -7 | Brennan Poole |
| 28 | 26 | -2 | Blaine Perkins |
| 29 | 22 | -7 | Garrett Smithley |
| 30 | 33 | +3 | Josh Bilicki |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Nathan Byrd |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | Mason Maggio |
| 33 | 30 | -3 | Lavar Scott |
| 34 | 34 | — | Austin J Hill |
| 35 | 19 | -16 | Nick Sanchez |
| 36 | 36 | — | Dawson Cram |
| 37 | 15 | -22 | William Sawalich |
| 38 | 38 | — | Ryan Ellis |
Stage Results
| Driver | Stage 1 | Stage 2 | Stage 3 | Stage Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jesse Love | 2 | 1 | — | 19 |
| Carson Kvapil | 3 | 2 | — | 17 |
| Sammy Smith | 1 | 6 | — | 15 |
| Justin Allgaier | 4 | 4 | — | 14 |
| Jeb Burton | 6 | 7 | — | 9 |
| Brent Crews | 8 | 5 | — | 9 |
| Sheldon Creed | 9 | 9 | — | 4 |
| Corey Day | 7 | — | — | 4 |
| Taylor Gray | — | 8 | — | 3 |
| Jeremy Clements | — | 10 | — | 1 |
| Brandon Jones | 10 | — | — | 1 |
| Sam Mayer | — | — | — | — |
| Rajah Caruth | — | — | — | — |
| Anthony Alfredo | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Hill | — | — | — | — |
| William Byron | 5 | 3 | — | — |
| Parker Retzlaff | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Sieg | — | — | — | — |
| Joey Gase | — | — | — | — |
| Daniel Dye | — | — | — | — |
| Chandler Smith | — | — | — | — |
| Austin Green | — | — | — | — |
| Harrison Burton | — | — | — | — |
| Kyle Sieg | — | — | — | — |
| Dean Thompson | — | — | — | — |
| Patrick Staropoli | — | — | — | — |
| Brennan Poole | — | — | — | — |
| Blaine Perkins | — | — | — | — |
| Garrett Smithley | — | — | — | — |
| Josh Bilicki | — | — | — | — |
| Nathan Byrd | — | — | — | — |
| Mason Maggio | — | — | — | — |
| Lavar Scott | — | — | — | — |
| Austin J Hill | — | — | — | — |
| Nick Sanchez | — | — | — | — |
| Dawson Cram | — | — | — | — |
| William Sawalich | — | — | — | — |
| Ryan Ellis | — | — | — | — |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 10 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Justin Allgaier | 18.0 | 1 | +17.0 |
| 2 | Jesse Love | 20.4 | 2 | +18.4 |
| 10 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 10 | +12.0 |
| 12 | Austin Hill | 24.9 | 12 | +12.9 |
| 13 | William Byron | 10.8 | 13 | -2.2 |
| 19 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 19 | +3.0 |
| 20 | Daniel Dye | 19.0 | 20 | -1.0 |
| 23 | Harrison Burton | 20.4 | 23 | -2.6 |
| 27 | Brennan Poole | 22.7 | 27 | -4.3 |
| 30 | Josh Bilicki | 28.1 | 30 | -1.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Justin Allgaier: has 15 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 10.3 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- William Byron: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 14.1 avg finish (1 win), finishing P13 on the day.
- Jesse Love: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P20. Track history: 6 starts, 4.0 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 GOVX 200?
Justin Allgaier won the 2026 GOVX 200 at Phoenix Raceway driving for JR Motorsports.
Where was the 2026 GOVX 200 held?
The 2026 GOVX 200 was held at Phoenix Raceway on March 7, 2026.