NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Playoff Race at Phoenix
Phoenix Raceway, October 17, 2026
Jesse Love
Winner
200
Laps
18
Lead Changes
7
Leaders
Jesse Love won the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Playoff Race at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway on October 17, 2026, leading 157 of 200 laps. Sam Mayer finished second; Justin Allgaier rounded out the podium. The race had 18 lead changes among 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 17, 2026
Track
Season
2026
Winner
Lead Changes
18
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Jesse Love |
| 2 | 35 | +33 | Sam Mayer |
| 3 | 13 | +10 | Justin Allgaier |
| 4 | 11 | +7 | Corey Day |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Sammy Smith |
| 6 | 2 | -4 | Brandon Jones |
| 7 | 17 | +10 | Dean Thompson |
| 8 | 3 | -5 | William Sawalich |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Rajah Caruth |
| 10 | 16 | +6 | Carson Kvapil |
| 11 | 18 | +7 | Parker Retzlaff |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | Jeremy Clements |
| 13 | 36 | +23 | Harrison Burton |
| 14 | 25 | +11 | Andrew Patterson |
| 15 | 10 | -5 | Austin Hill |
| 16 | 22 | +6 | Jeb Burton |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Anthony Alfredo |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Ryan Ellis |
| 19 | 30 | +11 | Lavar Scott |
| 20 | 8 | -12 | Brent Crews |
| 21 | 27 | +6 | Patrick Staropoli |
| 22 | 7 | -15 | Nick Sanchez |
| 23 | 12 | -11 | Ryan Sieg |
| 24 | 14 | -10 | Blaine Perkins |
| 25 | 21 | -4 | Kyle Sieg |
| 26 | 23 | -3 | Josh Williams |
| 27 | 37 | +10 | Brad Perez |
| 28 | 5 | -23 | Taylor Gray |
| 29 | 24 | -5 | Will Rodgers |
| 30 | 31 | +1 | Connor Mosack |
| 31 | 34 | +3 | Garrett Smithley |
| 32 | 4 | -28 | Sheldon Creed |
| 33 | 38 | +5 | Joey Gase |
| 34 | 20 | -14 | Leland Honeyman Jr. |
| 35 | 26 | -9 | Brennan Poole |
| 36 | 32 | -4 | Josh Bilicki |
| 37 | 33 | -4 | Dawson Cram |
| 38 | 29 | -9 | Jake Finch |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.0 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesse Love | 20.4 | 1 | +19.4 |
| 3 | Justin Allgaier | 17.7 | 3 | +14.7 |
| 13 | Harrison Burton | 21.0 | 13 | +8.0 |
| 15 | Austin Hill | 24.9 | 15 | +9.9 |
| 17 | Anthony Alfredo | 22.0 | 17 | +5.0 |
| 33 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 33 | -11.0 |
| 35 | Brennan Poole | 23.0 | 35 | -12.0 |
| 36 | Josh Bilicki | 28.1 | 36 | -7.9 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Jesse Love: has 7 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 3.6 avg finish (2 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Justin Allgaier: was the model’s top pick based on 16 career starts at Phoenix Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P3 on the day.
Explore More
Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Playoff Race at Phoenix?
Jesse Love won the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Playoff Race at Phoenix at Phoenix Raceway driving for Richard Childress Racing.
Where was the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Playoff Race at Phoenix held?
The 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Playoff Race at Phoenix was held at Phoenix Raceway on October 17, 2026.