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TV & Start Time
What channel is the Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray on?
The Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray airs on FS2 on Wednesday, February 4, 2026 at 6:00 PM ET, broadcast from Bowman Gray Stadium. The 2026 NASCAR Cup Series schedule splits between FOX, FS1, TNT, NBC, USA, and Amazon Prime Video.
What time does the NASCAR Cup race start this race weekend?
The Cook Out Clash at Bowman Gray ran on Wednesday, February 4, 2026 with a 6:00 PM ET green flag on FS2.
NR-Rating Track Rankings
| # | Driver | Elo Rating | Last Finish |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Larson | | P0 |
| 2 | Denny Hamlin | | P0 |
| 3 | Ryan Blaney | | P0 |
| 4 | Joey Logano | | P0 |
| 5 | Christopher Bell | | P0 |
| 6 | Ty Gibbs | | P0 |
| 7 | Chase Elliott | | P0 |
| 8 | William Byron | | P0 |
| 9 | Ryan Preece | | P0 |
| 10 | Brad Keselowski | | P0 |
NR-Rating Predictions
Last updated: Mon, Sep 28, 2026, 07:16 AM ET
| # | Driver | Exp. Finish | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Christopher Bell Best in Field | 6.8 | 18.6% |
| 2 | Chase Elliott | 6.8 | 17.5% |
| 3 | Kyle Larson | 8.3 | 16.2% |
| 4 | Denny Hamlin | 8.6 | 15.7% |
| 5 | Chase Briscoe | 8.6 | 12.8% |
| 6 | Chris Buescher | 9.9 | 11.2% |
| 7 | Tyler Reddick | 10.3 | 9.3% |
| 8 | Joey Logano | 10.3 | 8.1% |
| 9 | Ryan Blaney | 10.8 | 6.8% |
| 10 | William Byron | 12.0 | 5.4% |
| 11 | Ryan Preece | 12.6 | 4.9% |
| 12 | Brad Keselowski | 12.6 | 4.2% |
| 13 | Ross Chastain | 12.6 | 3.5% |
| 14 | Bubba Wallace | 13.8 | 3.1% |
| 15 | Alex Bowman | 14.0 | 3.1% |
| 16 | Michael McDowell | 15.6 | 1.8% |
| 17 | Ty Gibbs | 15.6 | 1.8% |
| 18 | Erik Jones | 15.6 | 1.0% |
| 19 | Casey Mears | 17.0 | 0.9% |
| 20 | Daniel Suarez | 17.1 | 0.8% |
| 21 | Shane van Gisbergen | 17.1 | 0.6% |
| 22 | John Hunter Nemechek | 18.0 | 0.6% |
| 23 | Austin Cindric | 17.7 | 0.5% |
| 24 | Todd Gilliland | 17.7 | 0.5% |
| 25 | A.J. Allmendinger | 18.0 | 0.4% |
| 26 | Josh Berry | 19.0 | 0.4% |
| 27 | Austin Dillon | 18.3 | 0.3% |
| 28 | Carson Hocevar | 18.3 | 0.3% |
| 29 | Jimmie Johnson | 21.0 | 0.3% |
| 30 | Zane Smith | 20.4 | 0.2% |
| 31 | Cole Custer | 20.2 | 0.2% |
| 32 | Ricky Stenhouse Jr. | 22.0 | 0.1% |
| 33 | Ty Dillon | 23.1 | 0.1% |
| 34 | Noah Gragson | 22.1 | 0.1% |
| 35 | Connor Zilisch | 24.9 | 0.1% |
| 36 | B.J. McLeod | 26.7 | 0.0% |
| 37 | Katherine Legge | 27.3 | 0.0% |
| 38 | Riley Herbst | 27.1 | 0.0% |
| 39 | Cody Ware | 29.8 | 0.0% |
Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning, higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.
Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)
Prediction Scorecard
Enjoy Illinois 300: Model picked Denny Hamlin at P1 → Actual P9
(0/5 top-5 hits)
35% top-5 hit rate across 8 races
Track Type Tendencies
Bowman Gray Stadium is a short track where driver skill and aggression take center stage. Passing requires contact, tempers run hot, and strategy around restarts and pit timing can make or break a race.
Short tracks historically produce the most lead changes and the closest finishes.