O'Reilly Series Preview Saturday, June 27, 2026

NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Sonoma

Sonoma Raceway

Laps 79 Distance 157 mi Type road Coverage CW · 5:30 PM ET

1.99

asphalt

Surface

Race Complete

Saturday, June 27, 2026

5:30 PM ET

Pre-Race Race Day Post-Race

The Hook

Your watchlist, historical context, and race-week curiosities.

Your Drivers' Outlook

Historical Context

Tyler Reddick has 5 starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 18.4 average finish.
Chris Buescher has 8 starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 11.0 average finish.
Christopher Bell has 4 starts at Sonoma Raceway with a 12.3 average finish.

Based on O'Reilly Series results at Sonoma Raceway from 1982-2026.

DID YOU KNOW?

Shane van Gisbergen has won 3 times at Sonoma Raceway with a 1.3 average finish.

See Shane van Gisbergen's full stats

LAST TIME HERE

Shane van Gisbergen won the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Sonoma at Sonoma Raceway.

See Shane van Gisbergen's results

The Story

The narrative arc, drivers to watch, and race-weekend color.

The Data

Schedule, predictions, entry list, track history, fantasy, and betting angles.

TV & Start Time

What channel is the NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Sonoma on?

The NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Sonoma airs on CW on Saturday, June 27, 2026 at 5:30 PM ET, broadcast from Sonoma Raceway. All 2026 NASCAR Xfinity (O'Reilly Auto Parts) Series races air exclusively on The CW, which is free over-the-air with a digital antenna.

What time does the NASCAR Xfinity race start this race weekend?

The NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Sonoma ran on Saturday, June 27, 2026 with a 5:30 PM ET green flag on CW.

NR-Rating Track Rankings

#	Driver	Badge	Elo Rating	Starts	Wins	Last Finish
1	Christopher Bell		1568	4	0	P5(2025)
2	Shane van Gisbergen	Prev Winner	1560	1	1	P1(2025)
3	Chris Buescher		1556	9	0	P16(2025)
4	Chase Elliott		1555	9	0	P3(2025)
5	Tyler Reddick		1553	5	0	P6(2025)
6	William Byron		1543	7	0	P8(2025)
7	Michael McDowell		1525	10	0	P4(2025)
8	Joey Logano		1518	12	0	P9(2025)
9	A.J. Allmendinger		1515	13	0	P18(2025)
10	Kyle Busch	Prev Winner	1514	14	1	P10(2025)

NR-Rating: Elo-based rating from the NR-Rating prediction model. Higher = stronger at this track type. = Previous winner at this track

NR-Rating Predictions

Last updated: Mon, Jun 1, 2026, 11:25 AM ET

#	Driver	Tier	Exp. Finish	Win %	Top 5 %	Top 10 %
1	Tyler Reddick Best in Field	Favorite	11.2	12.6%	43.2%	63.9%
2	Chris Buescher	Favorite	10.2	11.8%	43.9%	66.2%
3	Christopher Bell	Favorite	7.2	11.7%	48.8%	70.8%
4	Chase Elliott	Favorite	7.2	11.5%	46.3%	68.9%
5	William Byron	Favorite	11.5	10.8%	38.0%	58.5%
6	Shane van Gisbergen	Favorite	12.7	9.2%	32.2%	52.8%
7	Ryan Blaney	Contender	12.7	9.2%	32.2%	52.8%
8	Joey Logano	Contender	12.7	8.5%	32.1%	51.9%
9	Kyle Larson	Contender	12.9	7.6%	30.2%	50.1%
10	Michael McDowell	Contender	13.0	4.4%	25.8%	46.0%
11	Ross Chastain	Contender	16.2	4.2%	22.2%	43.5%
12	A.J. Allmendinger	Contender	16.5	3.1%	19.1%	39.7%
13	Ty Gibbs	Contender	17.2	2.6%	13.7%	28.1%
14	Daniel Suarez	Contender	16.8	2.6%	15.1%	30.2%
15	Brad Keselowski	Mid-Pack	16.7	2.5%	13.4%	33.0%
16	Alex Bowman	Mid-Pack	16.7	2.0%	14.6%	36.7%
17	Casey Mears	Mid-Pack	16.7	2.0%	15.7%	37.7%
18	Austin Cindric	Mid-Pack	20.2	1.9%	11.5%	25.3%
19	Denny Hamlin	Mid-Pack	16.7	1.8%	14.0%	37.5%
20	Jimmie Johnson	Mid-Pack	16.7	1.7%	11.6%	35.3%
21	Bubba Wallace	Mid-Pack	16.7	1.7%	14.3%	35.7%
22	Chase Briscoe	Mid-Pack	16.7	1.4%	13.1%	35.2%
23	Todd Gilliland	Mid-Pack	20.8	1.3%	10.1%	23.2%
24	Ricky Stenhouse Jr.	Mid-Pack	21.4	1.2%	5.5%	16.6%
25	Connor Zilisch	Mid-Pack	21.4	1.1%	5.4%	16.2%
26	Ryan Preece	Mid-Pack	16.5	1.1%	15.6%	35.5%
27	Katherine Legge	Dark Horse	21.4	0.9%	4.6%	13.5%
28	Erik Jones	Dark Horse	21.4	0.9%	4.3%	14.9%
29	B.J. McLeod	Dark Horse	20.8	0.9%	7.4%	22.4%
30	Ty Dillon	Dark Horse	21.4	0.8%	4.5%	13.1%
31	Austin Dillon	Dark Horse	21.4	0.5%	6.8%	19.2%
32	Carson Hocevar	Dark Horse	21.4	0.3%	6.6%	20.1%
33	Noah Gragson	Dark Horse	26.9	0.0%	0.9%	4.6%
34	Riley Herbst	Dark Horse	25.7	0.0%	2.6%	6.9%
35	Cole Custer	Dark Horse	25.7	0.0%	2.5%	6.9%
36	Josh Berry	Dark Horse	28.4	0.0%	0.6%	3.6%
37	Zane Smith	Dark Horse	25.7	0.0%	2.0%	6.0%
38	Cody Ware	Dark Horse	28.5	0.0%	1.3%	2.6%
39	John Hunter Nemechek	Dark Horse	25.7	0.0%	2.5%	7.5%

Win probabilities reflect full-field Monte Carlo simulations. A 10% pWin means roughly 1-in-10 chance of winning — higher than most bettors realize for a 36-car field where the average driver has ~2.8% odds. Top 5 and Top 10 percentages similarly reflect simulated outcomes, not historical averages. Learn how the model works.

Predictions powered by NR-Rating model (MAE: 8.5 positions)

Prediction Scorecard

Anduril 250: Model picked Denny Hamlin at P1 → Actual P14

(0/5 top-5 hits)

33% top-5 hit rate across 17 races

History at Sonoma Raceway

O'Reilly Series data from 1982-2026 (4 races)

Recent Results

Year	Race	Winner	Margin	Team	Laps Led
2026	NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Race at Sonoma	Shane van Gisbergen	+1.324	Trackhouse Racing	66
2025	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Sonoma	Connor Zilisch	—		46
2024	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Sonoma	Shane van Gisbergen	—		32
2023	NASCAR Xfinity Series at Sonoma	Aric Almirola	—		17

All Results at This Track

2026 Gisbergen 2025 Zilisch 2024 Gisbergen 2023 Almirola

Laps Led Leaders

Driver	Total Laps Led
Shane van Gisbergen	122
Kyle Larson	53
Connor Zilisch	50
Ty Gibbs	26
Austin Hill	25

Track Type Tendencies

road

Road course events at Sonoma Raceway favor a specific skillset — braking, corner entry, and road racing experience. Drivers with sports car or open-wheel backgrounds tend to overperform here.

Tire management and fuel strategy add an extra layer of complexity to race outcomes.