Emerson Radio 250

Richmond Raceway — January 1, 2007

Kyle Busch
Winner
252
Laps
43
Entries
3
Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2007 Emerson Radio 250 at Richmond Raceway on January 1, 2007, leading 227 of 252 laps. Carl Edwards finished second; Ryan Newman rounded out the podium. The race featured 3 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Monday, January 1, 2007
Season
2007
Winner
Leaders
3 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Kyle Busch
2 6 +4 Carl Edwards
3 4 +1 Ryan Newman
4 2 -2 Matt Kenseth
5 10 +5 Mike Bliss
6 13 +7 Brian Vickers
7 5 -2 Denny Hamlin
8 18 +10 Scott Wimmer
9 22 +13 Kasey Kahne
10 9 -1 Jason Keller
11 7 -4 Jason Leffler
12 3 -9 Jamie McMurray
13 14 +1 Greg Biffle
14 12 -2 A.J. Allmendinger
15 20 +5 Marcos Ambrose
16 31 +15 Bobby Hamilton Jr.
17 19 +2 Bobby Labonte
18 33 +15 Steve Wallace
19 37 +18 J.J. Yeley
20 16 -4 Todd Bodine
21 23 +2 Stephen Leicht
22 36 +14 Landon Cassill
23 17 -6 David Reutimann
24 8 -16 Kevin Harvick
25 29 +4 Bobby East
26 24 -2 Kelly Bires
27 30 +3 Danny O'Quinn Jr.
28 21 -7 Mark Green
29 40 +11 Kyle Krisiloff
30 41 +11 Richard Johns
31 38 +7 Mike Wallace
32 35 +3 Tim McCreadie
33 11 -22 Clint Bowyer
34 27 -7 Brent Sherman
35 25 -10 Bryan Clauson
36 43 +7 D.J. Kennington
37 32 -5 Derrike Cope
38 15 -23 Brad Keselowski
39 28 -11 David Ragan
40 26 -14 Paul Menard
41 42 +1 John Graham
42 34 -8 Eric McClure
43 39 -4 Kevin Conway
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.8 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Busch 15.6 1 +14.6
7 Denny Hamlin 6.8 7 -0.2
14 A.J. Allmendinger 18.3 14 +4.3
19 J.J. Yeley 28.1 19 +9.1
38 Brad Keselowski 12.0 38 -26.0

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Busch: has 34 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 10.2 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 27 career starts at Richmond Raceway with a 9.8 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P7 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2007 Emerson Radio 250?
Kyle Busch won the 2007 Emerson Radio 250 at Richmond Raceway driving for Hendrick Motorsports.
Where was the 2007 Emerson Radio 250 held?
The 2007 Emerson Radio 250 was held at Richmond Raceway on January 1, 2007.