USG Durock 300

Chicagoland Speedway — January 1, 2007

Kevin Harvick

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kevin Harvick won the 2007 USG Durock 300 at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2007, leading 27 of 200 laps. Matt Kenseth finished second; Jeff Burton rounded out the podium. The race featured 8 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Monday, January 1, 2007

Track

Chicagoland Speedway

Season

2007

Winner

Kevin Harvick

Leaders

8 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Team	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	8	+7	Kevin Harvick	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	27	190
2	10	+8	Matt Kenseth	Roush Fenway Racing		200	—	Running	13	175
3	14	+11	Jeff Burton	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	50	170
4	18	+14	Clint Bowyer	Richard Childress Racing		200	—	Running	—	160
5	6	+1	Kyle Busch	Hendrick Motorsports		200	—	Running	58	165
6	21	+15	Paul Menard	Dale Earnhardt Inc.		200	—	Running	—	150
7	1	-6	Denny Hamlin	Joe Gibbs Racing		200	—	Running	22	151
8	22	+14	Tony Stewart	Kevin Harvick Inc.		200	—	Running	—	142
9	5	-4	Dave Blaney	ppc Racing		200	—	Running	—	138
10	15	+5	Stephen Leicht	Robert Yates Racing		200	—	Running	—	134
11	27	+16	J.J. Yeley	Phoenix Racing		200	—	Running	—	130
12	4	-8	Kasey Kahne	Evernham Motorsports	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	127
13	7	-6	Casey Mears	Hendrick Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	124
14	33	+19	Brad Keselowski	JR Motorsports		200	—	Running	—	121
15	32	+17	Reed Sorenson	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	200	—	Running	—	118
16	25	+9	Bobby Labonte	Kevin Harvick Inc.		200	—	Running	—	115
17	23	+6	David Reutimann	Michael Waltrip Racing		199	—	Running	—	112
18	39	+21	Mike Wallace	Phoenix Racing		199	—	Running	—	109
19	42	+23	David Ragan	Roush Fenway Racing		199	—	Running	—	106
20	2	-18	Carl Edwards	Roush Fenway Racing		198	—	Running	26	108
21	17	-4	Juan Pablo Montoya	Chip Ganassi Racing	Dodge	198	—	Running	—	100
22	12	-10	Ward Burton	Brewco Motorsports		198	—	Running	—	97
23	24	+1	Jamie McMurray	Brewco Motorsports		198	—	Running	—	94
24	29	+5	Kelly Bires	JTG Daugherty Racing		198	—	Running	—	91
25	31	+6	David Stremme	FitzBradshaw Racing	Dodge	197	—	Running	—	88
26	19	-7	Todd Kluever	Roush Fenway Racing		197	—	Running	3	90
27	28	+1	David Gilliland	Team Rensi Motorsports		197	—	Running	—	82
28	41	+13	Kyle Krisiloff	ppc Racing		196	—	Running	—	79
29	13	-16	Bobby Hamilton Jr.	Team Rensi Motorsports		196	—	Running	—	76
30	40	+10	Mark Green	ML Motorsports		196	—	Running	—	0
31	30	-1	Stanton Barrett	SKI Motorsports		196	—	Running	—	70
32	36	+4	Steve Wallace	Rusty Wallace Racing	Dodge	196	—	Running	—	67
33	26	-7	Jason Leffler	Braun Racing		196	—	Running	—	64
34	16	-18	Robby Gordon	Robby Gordon Motorsports		195	—	Running	—	61
35	35	—	Jason Keller	CJM Racing		194	—	Running	—	58
36	34	-2	Derrike Cope	Haas CNC Racing		194	—	Running	—	55
37	20	-17	Marcos Ambrose	JTG Daugherty Racing		190	—	Running	—	52
38	3	-35	Aric Almirola	Joe Gibbs Racing		167	—	DNF - Crash	1	54
39	9	-30	Greg Biffle	Roush Fenway Racing		161	—	DNF	—	46
40	38	-2	Brent Sherman	McGill Motorsports		143	—	DNF - Crash	—	43
41	43	+2	Eric McClure	Duesenberg and Leik Motorsports		71	—	DNF	—	40
42	37	-5	Morgan Shepherd	Faith Motorsports (Shepherd)	Dodge	13	—	DNF	—	37
43	11	-32	Ryan Newman	Penske Racing	Dodge	4	—	DNF - Crash	—	34

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 5 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.5 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
5	Kyle Busch	17.0	5	+12.0	Coinflip
7	Denny Hamlin	8.2	7	+1.2	High Confidence
11	J.J. Yeley	28.8	11	+17.8	High Confidence
13	Casey Mears	16.9	13	+3.9	Coinflip
14	Brad Keselowski	11.2	14	-2.8	Moderate

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kevin Harvick: has 30 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 10.9 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Denny Hamlin: was the model’s top pick based on 19 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 14.4 avg finish (1 win), finishing P7 on the day.
J.J. Yeley: was the biggest surprise, finishing P11 vs predicted P29. Track history: 22 starts, 23.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2007 USG Durock 300?

Kevin Harvick won the 2007 USG Durock 300 at Chicagoland Speedway driving for Richard Childress Racing.

Where was the 2007 USG Durock 300 held?

The 2007 USG Durock 300 was held at Chicagoland Speedway on January 1, 2007.