NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona

Daytona International Speedway — February 25, 2012

James Buescher
Winner
120
Laps
43
Entries
16
Leaders

James Buescher won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway on February 25, 2012, leading 1 of 120 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Elliott Sadler rounded out the podium. The race featured 16 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, February 25, 2012
Season
2012
Leaders
16 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 15 +14 James Buescher
2 9 +7 Brad Keselowski
3 3 Elliott Sadler
4 8 +4 Cole Whitt
5 5 Austin Dillon
6 25 +19 Tayler Malsam
7 29 +22 Timmy Hill
8 7 -1 Tony Stewart
9 11 +2 Kasey Kahne
10 14 +4 Kurt Busch
11 2 -9 Trevor Bayne
12 33 +21 Benny Gordon
13 41 +28 Danny Efland
14 37 +23 Josh Wise
15 4 -11 Dale Earnhardt, Jr.
16 22 +6 Joey Logano
17 31 +14 Blake Koch
18 24 +6 Kyle Busch
19 10 -9 Ricky Stenhouse Jr.
20 6 -14 Sam Hornish Jr.
21 21 Johanna Long
22 20 -2 Eric McClure
23 27 +4 Joe Nemechek
24 39 +15 T.J. Bell
25 36 +11 Jeremy Clements
26 23 -3 David Ragan
27 16 -11 Michael Annett
28 28 Mike Wallace
29 35 +6 Joey Gase
30 26 -4 Kenny Wallace
31 18 -13 Ryan Truex
32 17 -15 Denny Hamlin
33 12 -21 Justin Allgaier
34 42 +8 Reed Sorenson
35 34 -1 Robert Richardson Jr.
36 32 -4 Casey Roderick
37 19 -18 Brian Scott
38 1 -37 Danica Patrick
39 13 -26 Mike Bliss
40 38 -2 J.J. Yeley
41 40 -1 Jason Bowles
42 30 -12 Johnny Sauter
43 43 Jeff Green
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Brad Keselowski 16.0 2 +14.0
5 Austin Dillon 23.4 5 +18.4
7 Timmy Hill 22.8 7 +15.8
16 Joey Logano 20.5 16 +4.5
18 Kyle Busch 15.1 18 -2.9
19 Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 18.5 19 -0.5
29 Joey Gase 23.7 29 -5.3
31 Ryan Truex 20.5 31 -10.5
32 Denny Hamlin 16.0 32 -16.0
33 Justin Allgaier 21.1 33 -11.9
40 J.J. Yeley 25.2 40 -14.8

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • James Buescher: has 11 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 16.7 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Kyle Busch: was the model’s top pick based on 69 career starts at Daytona International Speedway with a 17.3 avg finish (3 wins), finishing P18 on the day.
  • Austin Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P23. Track history: 36 starts, 14.7 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona?
James Buescher won the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona at Daytona International Speedway.
Where was the 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona held?
The 2012 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Daytona was held at Daytona International Speedway on February 25, 2012.