NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas
Kansas Speedway — October 5, 2013
Matt Kenseth
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
10
Leaders
Matt Kenseth won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway on October 5, 2013, leading 38 of 200 laps. Paul Menard finished second; Regan Smith rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, October 5, 2013
Track
Season
2013
Winner
Leaders
10 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | +16 | Matt Kenseth |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Paul Menard |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Regan Smith |
| 4 | 12 | +8 | Kyle Busch |
| 5 | 2 | -3 | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 1 | -5 | Austin Dillon |
| 7 | 7 | — | Parker Kligerman |
| 8 | 9 | +1 | Brad Sweet |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Trevor Bayne |
| 10 | 3 | -7 | Elliott Sadler |
| 11 | 11 | — | Alex Bowman |
| 12 | 18 | +6 | Michael Annett |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Mike Bliss |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Travis Pastrana |
| 15 | 25 | +10 | James Buescher |
| 16 | 10 | -6 | Chris Buescher |
| 17 | 15 | -2 | Sam Hornish Jr. |
| 18 | 6 | -12 | Brian Scott |
| 19 | 30 | +11 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 20 | 14 | -6 | Nelson Piquet Jr. |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Ryan Sieg |
| 22 | 34 | +12 | Landon Cassill |
| 23 | 28 | +5 | Bryan Silas |
| 24 | 23 | -1 | Johanna Long |
| 25 | 36 | +11 | Joe Nemechek |
| 26 | 39 | +13 | Jennifer Cobb |
| 27 | 38 | +11 | Eric McClure |
| 28 | 13 | -15 | Brad Keselowski |
| 29 | 16 | -13 | Brian Vickers |
| 30 | 19 | -11 | Kyle Larson |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Mike Wallace |
| 32 | 37 | +5 | Ken Butler |
| 33 | 33 | — | T.J. Bell |
| 34 | 40 | +6 | Carl Long |
| 35 | 27 | -8 | Hal Martin |
| 36 | 24 | -12 | Jeremy Clements |
| 37 | 29 | -8 | Blake Koch |
| 38 | 31 | -7 | J.J. Yeley |
| 39 | 35 | -4 | Josh Wise |
| 40 | 26 | -14 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 8 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.3 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 4 | +13.0 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 5 | +13.3 |
| 6 | Austin Dillon | 17.1 | 6 | +11.1 |
| 11 | Alex Bowman | 13.5 | 11 | +2.5 |
| 16 | Chris Buescher | 9.2 | 16 | -6.8 |
| 28 | Brad Keselowski | 11.2 | 28 | -16.8 |
| 30 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 30 | -17.3 |
| 38 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 38 | -9.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Matt Kenseth: has 33 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 11.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chris Buescher: was the model’s top pick based on 21 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 14.9 avg finish, finishing P16 on the day.
- Justin Allgaier: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P18. Track history: 22 starts, 18.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas?
Matt Kenseth won the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway.
Where was the 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas held?
The 2013 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas was held at Kansas Speedway on October 5, 2013.