NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago

Chicagoland Speedway — September 13, 2014

Kevin Harvick
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders

Kevin Harvick won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago at Chicagoland Speedway on September 13, 2014, leading 43 of 200 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Kyle Busch rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 13, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 9 +8 Kevin Harvick
2 5 +3 Kyle Larson
3 3 Kyle Busch
4 2 -2 Ryan Blaney
5 14 +9 Trevor Bayne
6 13 +7 Elliott Sadler
7 8 +1 Ty Dillon
8 11 +3 Regan Smith
9 1 -8 Brian Scott
10 4 -6 Chase Elliott
11 6 -5 Paul Menard
12 7 -5 Chris Buescher
13 15 +2 Brendan Gaughan
14 10 -4 Aric Almirola
15 18 +3 Daniel Suarez
16 26 +10 Landon Cassill
17 12 -5 Dylan Kwasniewski
18 17 -1 James Buescher
19 19 Ross Chastain
20 23 +3 Mike Bliss
21 20 -1 Ryan Sieg
22 27 +5 Dakoda Armstrong
23 22 -1 Brennan Newberry
24 21 -3 Ryan Reed
25 25 J.J. Yeley
26 28 +2 Eric McClure
27 29 +2 Matt DiBenedetto
28 30 +2 Will Kimmel
29 38 +9 Cody Ware
30 35 +5 Jeffrey Earnhardt
31 31 Kevin Swindell
32 16 -16 Denny Hamlin
33 24 -9 Jeremy Clements
34 33 -1 Tanner Berryhill
35 37 +2 Joey Gase
36 40 +4 Derrike Cope
37 39 +2 Josh Reaume
38 34 -4 Martin Roy
39 36 -3 Ryan Ellis
40 32 -8 Blake Koch
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.4 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
2 Kyle Larson 12.7 2 +10.7
3 Kyle Busch 17.0 3 +14.0
4 Ryan Blaney 9.2 4 +5.2
7 Ty Dillon 23.4 7 +16.4
10 Chase Elliott 7.8 10 -2.2
12 Chris Buescher 9.2 12 -2.8
15 Daniel Suarez 14.0 15 -1.0
19 Ross Chastain 13.3 19 -5.7
25 J.J. Yeley 28.8 25 +3.8
29 Cody Ware 56.1 29 +27.1
32 Denny Hamlin 8.2 32 -23.8
35 Joey Gase 23.4 35 -11.6

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kevin Harvick: has 30 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 10.9 avg finish (5 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 8.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P10 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago?
Kevin Harvick won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago at Chicagoland Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Chicago was held at Chicagoland Speedway on September 13, 2014.