NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas

Kansas Speedway — October 4, 2014

Kyle Busch

Winner

200

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway on October 4, 2014, leading 34 of 200 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Ryan Blaney rounded out the podium. The race featured 10 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, October 4, 2014

Track

Kansas Speedway

Season

2014

Winner

Kyle Busch

Leaders

10 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	6	+5	Kyle Busch		200	—	Running	34	0
2	4	+2	Kevin Harvick		200	—	Running	47	0
3	2	-1	Ryan Blaney		200	—	Running	33	0
4	8	+4	Paul Menard		200	—	Running	—	0
5	1	-4	Ty Dillon		200	—	Running	6	40
6	13	+7	Matt Kenseth		200	—	Running	8	0
7	7	—	Elliott Sadler		200	—	Running	37	38
8	11	+3	Trevor Bayne		200	—	Running	—	36
9	5	-4	Brian Scott		200	—	Running	4	36
10	12	+2	Chase Elliott		200	—	Running	—	34
11	15	+4	Dylan Kwasniewski		199	—	Running	—	33
12	14	+2	Ryan Reed		199	—	Running	—	32
13	10	-3	Brendan Gaughan		199	—	Running	7	32
14	21	+7	Mike Bliss		199	—	Running	—	30
15	23	+8	David Starr		199	—	Running	—	29
16	27	+11	Matt DiBenedetto		198	—	Running	—	28
17	25	+8	Jeremy Clements		197	—	Running	—	27
18	22	+4	J.J. Yeley		197	—	Running	—	26
19	28	+9	Eric McClure		195	—	Running	—	25
20	18	-2	Ryan Sieg		195	—	Running	—	24
21	16	-5	James Buescher		194	—	Running	—	23
22	24	+2	Regan Smith		192	—	Running	—	22
23	32	+9	Derrike Cope		192	—	Running	—	21
24	39	+15	Jennifer Cobb		188	—	Running	—	0
25	17	-8	Dakoda Armstrong		185	—	Running	—	19
26	26	—	Corey LaJoie		181	—	Running	—	0
27	36	+9	Jamie Dick		152	—	DNF	—	17
28	3	-25	Chris Buescher		149	—	DNF	20	17
29	31	+2	Jeffrey Earnhardt		93	—	DNF	—	15
30	9	-21	Kyle Larson		90	—	DNF	—	0
31	20	-11	John Wes Townley		73	—	DNF	4	0
32	37	+5	Joey Gase		71	—	DNF	—	12
33	40	+7	Martin Roy		62	—	DNF	—	11
34	19	-15	Landon Cassill		61	—	DNF	—	10
35	35	—	Carl Long		35	—	DNF	—	9
36	29	-7	Blake Koch		34	—	DNF	—	8
37	30	-7	Kevin Swindell	Dodge	13	—	DNF	—	7
38	33	-5	Mike Harmon	Dodge	12	—	DNF	—	6
39	38	-1	Timmy Hill		8	—	DNF	—	0
40	34	-6	Milka Duno		3	—	DNF	—	4

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 11 matched drivers, the model averaged 11.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Kyle Busch	17.0	1	+16.0	Coinflip
3	Ryan Blaney	9.2	3	+6.2	High Confidence
5	Ty Dillon	23.4	5	+18.4	High Confidence
10	Chase Elliott	7.8	10	-2.2	High Confidence
15	David Starr	20.9	15	+5.9	Moderate
18	J.J. Yeley	28.8	18	+10.8	High Confidence
26	Corey LaJoie	22.2	26	-3.8	High Confidence
28	Chris Buescher	9.2	28	-18.8	High Confidence
30	Kyle Larson	12.7	30	-17.3	Coinflip
32	Joey Gase	23.4	32	-8.6	High Confidence
39	Timmy Hill	23.9	39	-15.1	High Confidence

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Kyle Busch: has 54 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 13.1 avg finish (9 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 22 career starts at Kansas Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P10 on the day.
Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P23. Track history: 19 starts, 18.8 avg finish.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas?

Kyle Busch won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas at Kansas Speedway.

Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas held?

The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at Kansas was held at Kansas Speedway on October 4, 2014.