NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 12, 2014
Brad Keselowski
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
4
Leaders
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 12, 2014, leading 152 of 200 laps. Kyle Busch finished second; Matt Kenseth rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 12, 2014
Season
2014
Winner
Leaders
4 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Brad Keselowski |
| 2 | 2 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 3 | 3 | — | Matt Kenseth |
| 4 | 4 | — | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 9 | +4 | Chris Buescher |
| 6 | 16 | +10 | Elliott Sadler |
| 7 | 5 | -2 | Brian Scott |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Chase Elliott |
| 9 | 8 | -1 | Trevor Bayne |
| 10 | 12 | +2 | Regan Smith |
| 11 | 13 | +2 | Ryan Reed |
| 12 | 19 | +7 | Ty Dillon |
| 13 | 10 | -3 | Dylan Kwasniewski |
| 14 | 22 | +8 | Ryan Preece |
| 15 | 14 | -1 | Landon Cassill |
| 16 | 11 | -5 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 17 | 18 | +1 | J.J. Yeley |
| 18 | 20 | +2 | Ryan Sieg |
| 19 | 7 | -12 | Paul Menard |
| 20 | 30 | +10 | Jeremy Clements |
| 21 | 15 | -6 | Austin Theriault |
| 22 | 17 | -5 | James Buescher |
| 23 | 37 | +14 | Jeffrey Earnhardt |
| 24 | 24 | — | Brennan Newberry |
| 25 | 36 | +11 | Matt Frahm |
| 26 | 25 | -1 | Eric McClure |
| 27 | 23 | -4 | Tanner Berryhill |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Derrike Cope |
| 29 | 35 | +6 | Joey Gase |
| 30 | 27 | -3 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 31 | 32 | +1 | Jake Crum |
| 32 | 21 | -11 | Mike Bliss |
| 33 | 40 | +7 | Kevin Lepage |
| 34 | 39 | +5 | Josh Reaume |
| 35 | 38 | +3 | Carlos Contreras |
| 36 | 34 | -2 | Ryan Ellis |
| 37 | 31 | -6 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 38 | 28 | -10 | Josh Wise |
| 39 | 29 | -10 | Blake Koch |
| 40 | 26 | -14 | Matt DiBenedetto |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 9 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.6 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 1 | +11.0 |
| 2 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 2 | +13.6 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 8.6 | 4 | +4.6 |
| 5 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 5 | +5.3 |
| 8 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 8 | +0.3 |
| 12 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 12 | +12.3 |
| 14 | Ryan Preece | 10.8 | 14 | -3.2 |
| 17 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 17 | +11.1 |
| 29 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 29 | -7.0 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Brad Keselowski: has 34 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 9.4 avg finish (4 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 13.6 avg finish, finishing P8 on the day.
- Kyle Busch: was the biggest surprise, finishing P2 vs predicted P16. Track history: 44 starts, 11.9 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire?
Brad Keselowski won the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire held?
The 2014 NASCAR Nationwide Series at New Hampshire was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 12, 2014.