NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE
New Hampshire Motor Speedway — July 18, 2015
Denny Hamlin
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
7
Leaders
Denny Hamlin won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 18, 2015, leading 145 of 200 laps. Austin Dillon finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 7 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 18, 2015
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
7 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Denny Hamlin |
| 2 | 6 | +4 | Austin Dillon |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Brad Keselowski |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Kyle Busch |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Ty Dillon |
| 7 | 8 | +1 | Regan Smith |
| 8 | 11 | +3 | Bubba Wallace |
| 9 | 9 | — | Chase Elliott |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Brennan Poole |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 12 | 14 | +2 | Ben Rhodes |
| 13 | 21 | +8 | Ryan Reed |
| 14 | 20 | +6 | Chris Buescher |
| 15 | 19 | +4 | J.J. Yeley |
| 16 | 15 | -1 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 17 | 17 | — | Elliott Sadler |
| 18 | 28 | +10 | Eric McClure |
| 19 | 23 | +4 | Jeremy Clements |
| 20 | 16 | -4 | Blake Koch |
| 21 | 25 | +4 | Cale Conley |
| 22 | 24 | +2 | David Starr |
| 23 | 18 | -5 | Landon Cassill |
| 24 | 26 | +2 | Dylan Lupton |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Peyton Sellers |
| 27 | 36 | +9 | Derek White |
| 28 | 33 | +5 | Joey Gase |
| 29 | 5 | -24 | Brian Scott |
| 30 | 35 | +5 | Todd Peck |
| 31 | 37 | +6 | Mike Harmon |
| 32 | 38 | +6 | Derrike Cope |
| 33 | 29 | -4 | Matt Wallace |
| 34 | 12 | -22 | Ryan Sieg |
| 35 | 40 | +5 | Matt Frahm |
| 36 | 34 | -2 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 37 | 22 | -15 | Ross Chastain |
| 38 | 39 | +1 | Josh Reaume |
| 39 | 32 | -7 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 40 | 30 | -10 | Jeff Green |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 15 matched drivers, the model averaged 9.2 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Denny Hamlin | 6.8 | 1 | +5.8 |
| 2 | Austin Dillon | 17.0 | 2 | +15.0 |
| 3 | Brad Keselowski | 12.0 | 3 | +9.0 |
| 4 | Kyle Busch | 15.6 | 4 | +11.6 |
| 5 | Daniel Suarez | 15.6 | 5 | +10.6 |
| 6 | Ty Dillon | 24.3 | 6 | +18.3 |
| 8 | Bubba Wallace | 14.0 | 8 | +6.0 |
| 9 | Chase Elliott | 8.3 | 9 | -0.7 |
| 10 | Brennan Poole | 23.1 | 10 | +13.1 |
| 14 | Chris Buescher | 10.3 | 14 | -3.7 |
| 15 | J.J. Yeley | 28.1 | 15 | +13.1 |
| 22 | David Starr | 20.2 | 22 | -1.8 |
| 25 | B.J. McLeod | 25.6 | 25 | +0.6 |
| 28 | Joey Gase | 22.0 | 28 | -6.0 |
| 37 | Ross Chastain | 13.8 | 37 | -23.2 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Denny Hamlin: has 35 career starts at New Hampshire Motor Speedway with a 10.1 avg finish (3 wins) — the model correctly identified this strength.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P6 vs predicted P24. Track history: 12 starts, 18.2 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE?
Denny Hamlin won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE at New Hampshire Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE held?
The 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT NEW HAMPSHIRE was held at New Hampshire Motor Speedway on July 18, 2015.