NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD

Indianapolis Motor Speedway — July 25, 2015

Kyle Busch
Winner
100
Laps
40
Entries
6
Leaders

Kyle Busch won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 25, 2015, leading 53 of 100 laps. Ryan Blaney finished second; Daniel Suarez rounded out the podium. The race featured 6 different leaders.

Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 25, 2015
Season
2015
Winner
Leaders
6 drivers
Pos Start +/- Driver
1 1 Kyle Busch
2 11 +9 Ryan Blaney
3 2 -1 Daniel Suarez
4 5 +1 Paul Menard
5 6 +1 Elliott Sadler
6 16 +10 Kevin Harvick
7 10 +3 Kyle Larson
8 14 +6 Regan Smith
9 9 Ty Dillon
10 13 +3 Chase Elliott
11 7 -4 Brian Scott
12 20 +8 Ryan Sieg
13 4 -9 Brendan Gaughan
14 8 -6 Aric Almirola
15 26 +11 Jeremy Clements
16 12 -4 Chris Buescher
17 15 -2 Alex Bowman
18 17 -1 J.J. Yeley
19 18 -1 Dakoda Armstrong
20 22 +2 Ryan Reed
21 25 +4 Cale Conley
22 30 +8 Ross Chastain
23 23 Bubba Wallace
24 36 +12 Martin Roy
25 29 +4 Harrison Rhodes
26 37 +11 Joey Gase
27 24 -3 Timmy Hill
28 31 +3 Stanton Barrett
29 32 +3 Eric McClure
30 38 +8 Derrike Cope
31 19 -12 Landon Cassill
32 28 -4 B.J. McLeod
33 40 +7 Mike Harmon
34 3 -31 Erik Jones
35 34 -1 Peyton Sellers
36 27 -9 David Starr
37 21 -16 Blake Koch
38 33 -5 Morgan Shepherd
39 39 Josh Reaume
40 35 -5 Jeff Green
Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos Driver Predicted Actual Delta
1 Kyle Busch 17.0 1 +16.0
2 Ryan Blaney 9.2 2 +7.2
3 Daniel Suarez 14.0 3 +11.0
7 Kyle Larson 12.7 7 +5.7
9 Ty Dillon 23.4 9 +14.4
10 Chase Elliott 7.8 10 -2.2
16 Chris Buescher 9.2 16 -6.8
17 Alex Bowman 13.5 17 -3.5
18 J.J. Yeley 28.8 18 +10.8
22 Ross Chastain 13.3 22 -8.7
23 Bubba Wallace 12.7 23 -10.3
26 Joey Gase 23.4 26 -2.6
27 Timmy Hill 23.9 27 -3.1
32 B.J. McLeod 24.8 32 -7.2
34 Erik Jones 16.7 34 -17.3
36 David Starr 20.9 36 -15.1

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

  • Kyle Busch: has 23 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 10.3 avg finish (6 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
  • Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 9 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 12.6 avg finish, finishing P10 on the day.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD?
Kyle Busch won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD at Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD held?
The 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD was held at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 25, 2015.