NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN

Watkins Glen International — August 8, 2015

Joey Logano

Winner

Laps

Entries

Leaders

Joey Logano won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN at Watkins Glen International on August 8, 2015, leading 39 of 82 laps. Brad Keselowski finished second; Chris Buescher rounded out the podium. The race featured 4 different leaders.

Race Details

Date

Saturday, August 8, 2015

Track

Watkins Glen International

Season

2015

Winner

Joey Logano

Leaders

4 drivers

Sort by

Pos	Start	+/-	Driver	Manufacturer	Laps	Interval	Status	Led	Pts
1	1	—	Joey Logano		82	—	Running	39	0
2	2	—	Brad Keselowski		82	—	Running	40	0
3	5	+2	Chris Buescher		82	—	Running	2	42
4	7	+3	Boris Said		82	—	Running	—	40
5	6	+1	Ty Dillon		82	—	Running	—	39
6	9	+3	Brian Scott		82	—	Running	—	38
7	3	-4	Chase Elliott		82	—	Running	1	38
8	11	+3	Elliott Sadler		82	—	Running	—	36
9	10	+1	Paul Menard		82	—	Running	—	0
10	13	+3	Brendan Gaughan		82	—	Running	—	34
11	15	+4	Jeremy Clements		82	—	Running	—	33
12	17	+5	J.J. Yeley		82	—	Running	—	32
13	19	+6	Brandon Gdovic		82	—	Running	—	31
14	22	+8	Ryan Sieg		82	—	Running	—	30
15	12	-3	Daniel Suarez		82	—	Running	—	29
16	16	—	Bubba Wallace		82	—	Running	—	28
17	20	+3	Ross Chastain		82	—	Running	—	27
18	29	+11	Blake Koch		82	—	Running	—	26
19	31	+12	Todd Bodine		82	—	Running	—	25
20	8	-12	Regan Smith		82	—	Running	—	24
21	25	+4	Cale Conley		82	—	Running	—	23
22	36	+14	Ryan Ellis		82	—	Running	—	0
23	24	+1	Dakoda Armstrong		82	—	Running	—	21
24	27	+3	Eric McClure		82	—	Running	—	20
25	32	+7	Tomy Drissi		81	—	Running	—	19
26	34	+8	David Starr		81	—	Running	—	18
27	38	+11	Derrike Cope		81	—	Running	—	17
28	4	-24	Kyle Larson		75	—	Running	—	0
29	18	-11	Kenny Habul		74	—	Running	—	15
30	23	-7	Ryan Reed		74	—	Running	—	14
31	37	+6	Joey Gase		68	—	DNF	—	13
32	39	+7	Bobby Reuse	Dodge	64	—	DNF	—	12
33	33	—	Kevin O'Connell	Dodge	57	—	DNF	—	11
34	28	-6	Peyton Sellers		50	—	DNF	—	10
35	14	-21	Ben Rhodes		35	—	DNF	—	9
36	26	-10	Landon Cassill		34	—	DNF	—	8
37	21	-16	Michael Self		33	—	DNF	—	7
38	35	-3	Morgan Shepherd		13	—	DNF	—	6
39	40	+1	John Wes Townley		8	—	DNF	—	0
40	30	-10	Jeff Green		3	—	DNF	—	4

Model Performance

How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 12 matched drivers, the model averaged 7.8 positions off — better than the season average of 8.5. Average

Pos	Driver	Predicted	Actual	Delta	Conf.
1	Joey Logano	12.7	1	+11.7	Moderate
2	Brad Keselowski	16.7	2	+14.7	High Confidence
3	Chris Buescher	10.2	3	+7.2	High Confidence
5	Ty Dillon	21.4	5	+16.4	High Confidence
7	Chase Elliott	7.2	7	+0.2	High Confidence
12	J.J. Yeley	21.9	12	+9.9	High Confidence
15	Daniel Suarez	16.8	15	+1.8	Moderate
16	Bubba Wallace	16.7	16	+0.7	Moderate
17	Ross Chastain	16.2	17	-0.8	Coinflip
26	David Starr	20.8	26	-5.2	Coinflip
28	Kyle Larson	12.9	28	-15.1	Moderate
31	Joey Gase	20.8	31	-10.2	Coinflip

Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.

Historical Context

Joey Logano: has 23 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 13.2 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
Chase Elliott: was the model’s top pick based on 14 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 14.3 avg finish (2 wins), finishing P7 on the day.
Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P5 vs predicted P21. Track history: 10 starts, 18.6 avg finish.

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Track

Watkins Glen International

Frequently Asked Questions

Who won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN?

Joey Logano won the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN at Watkins Glen International.

Where was the 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN held?

The 2015 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN was held at Watkins Glen International on August 8, 2015.