NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO
Chicagoland Speedway — September 17, 2016
Erik Jones
Winner
200
Laps
40
Entries
11
Leaders
Erik Jones won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO at Chicagoland Speedway on September 17, 2016, leading 10 of 200 laps. Kyle Larson finished second; Elliott Sadler rounded out the podium. The race featured 11 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, September 17, 2016
Track
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
11 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | +4 | Erik Jones |
| 2 | 8 | +6 | Kyle Larson |
| 3 | 4 | +1 | Elliott Sadler |
| 4 | 2 | -2 | Daniel Suarez |
| 5 | 3 | -2 | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 7 | +1 | Clint Bowyer |
| 7 | 9 | +2 | Joey Logano |
| 8 | 12 | +4 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 9 | 6 | -3 | Paul Menard |
| 10 | 40 | +30 | Brandon Jones |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Ty Dillon |
| 12 | 17 | +5 | Ryan Sieg |
| 13 | 1 | -12 | Kyle Busch |
| 14 | 19 | +5 | J.J. Yeley |
| 15 | 13 | -2 | Blake Koch |
| 16 | 18 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 17 | 20 | +3 | Ryan Preece |
| 18 | 23 | +5 | David Starr |
| 19 | 26 | +7 | Garrett Smithley |
| 20 | 15 | -5 | Bubba Wallace |
| 21 | 11 | -10 | Brennan Poole |
| 22 | 21 | -1 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 23 | 29 | +6 | Martin Roy |
| 24 | 25 | +1 | B.J. McLeod |
| 25 | 22 | -3 | Timmy Hill |
| 26 | 31 | +5 | Joey Gase |
| 27 | 33 | +6 | Ryan Ellis |
| 28 | 32 | +4 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 29 | 34 | +5 | Jordan Anderson |
| 30 | 36 | +6 | Mike Harmon |
| 31 | 28 | -3 | Jeff Green |
| 32 | 14 | -18 | Ryan Reed |
| 33 | 27 | -6 | Travis Kvapil |
| 34 | 35 | +1 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 35 | 39 | +4 | Spencer Boyd |
| 36 | 38 | +2 | Dexter Bean |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Derrike Cope |
| 38 | 37 | -1 | Carl Long |
| 39 | 16 | -23 | Ross Chastain |
| 40 | 24 | -16 | Matt DiBenedetto |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.7 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 1 | +15.7 |
| 2 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 4 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 4 | +10.0 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 5 | +13.3 |
| 7 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 7 | +7.7 |
| 11 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 11 | +12.4 |
| 13 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 13 | +4.0 |
| 14 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 14 | +14.8 |
| 17 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 17 | -6.9 |
| 18 | David Starr | 20.9 | 18 | +2.9 |
| 20 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 20 | -7.3 |
| 21 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 21 | +3.7 |
| 24 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 24 | +0.8 |
| 25 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 25 | -1.1 |
| 26 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 26 | -2.6 |
| 39 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 39 | -25.7 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Erik Jones: has 6 career starts at Chicagoland Speedway with a 7.5 avg finish (1 win) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO?
Erik Jones won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO at Chicagoland Speedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO held?
The 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT CHICAGO was held at Chicagoland Speedway on September 17, 2016.