NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD
Indianapolis Motor Speedway — July 23, 2016
Kyle Busch
Winner
63
Laps
40
Entries
2
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 23, 2016, leading 62 of 63 laps. Kevin Harvick finished second; Paul Menard rounded out the podium. The race featured 2 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, July 23, 2016
Season
2016
Winner
Leaders
2 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | — | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 4 | +2 | Kevin Harvick |
| 3 | 8 | +5 | Paul Menard |
| 4 | 3 | -1 | Kyle Larson |
| 5 | 6 | +1 | Justin Allgaier |
| 6 | 9 | +3 | Elliott Sadler |
| 7 | 7 | — | Daniel Suarez |
| 8 | 5 | -3 | Joey Logano |
| 9 | 12 | +3 | Ty Dillon |
| 10 | 13 | +3 | Brandon Jones |
| 11 | 10 | -1 | Brennan Poole |
| 12 | 11 | -1 | Jeb Burton |
| 13 | 15 | +2 | Ryan Reed |
| 14 | 14 | — | Bubba Wallace |
| 15 | 17 | +2 | Blake Koch |
| 16 | 16 | — | Brendan Gaughan |
| 17 | 19 | +2 | Jeremy Clements |
| 18 | 18 | — | Ryan Sieg |
| 19 | 21 | +2 | J.J. Yeley |
| 20 | 20 | — | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 21 | 22 | +1 | Ross Chastain |
| 22 | 2 | -20 | Erik Jones |
| 23 | 25 | +2 | Garrett Smithley |
| 24 | 30 | +6 | David Starr |
| 25 | 27 | +2 | Ryan Preece |
| 26 | 28 | +2 | B.J. McLeod |
| 27 | 26 | -1 | Brandon Gdovic |
| 28 | 38 | +10 | Joey Gase |
| 29 | 32 | +3 | Mario Gosselin |
| 30 | 34 | +4 | Ryan Ellis |
| 31 | 31 | — | Stanton Barrett |
| 32 | 36 | +4 | Derrike Cope |
| 33 | 24 | -9 | Ray Black, Jr. |
| 34 | 29 | -5 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 35 | 33 | -2 | Mike Harmon |
| 36 | 23 | -13 | Jeff Green |
| 37 | 35 | -2 | Morgan Shepherd |
| 38 | 39 | +1 | Matt DiBenedetto |
| 39 | 37 | -2 | Timmy Hill |
| 40 | 40 | — | Todd Peck |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 16 matched drivers, the model averaged 8.9 positions off — close to the season average of 8.5. Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 17.0 | 1 | +16.0 |
| 4 | Kyle Larson | 12.7 | 4 | +8.7 |
| 5 | Justin Allgaier | 18.3 | 5 | +13.3 |
| 7 | Daniel Suarez | 14.0 | 7 | +7.0 |
| 8 | Joey Logano | 14.7 | 8 | +6.7 |
| 9 | Ty Dillon | 23.4 | 9 | +14.4 |
| 11 | Brennan Poole | 24.7 | 11 | +13.7 |
| 14 | Bubba Wallace | 12.7 | 14 | -1.3 |
| 19 | J.J. Yeley | 28.8 | 19 | +9.8 |
| 21 | Ross Chastain | 13.3 | 21 | -7.7 |
| 22 | Erik Jones | 16.7 | 22 | -5.3 |
| 24 | David Starr | 20.9 | 24 | -3.1 |
| 25 | Ryan Preece | 10.1 | 25 | -14.9 |
| 26 | B.J. McLeod | 24.8 | 26 | -1.2 |
| 28 | Joey Gase | 23.4 | 28 | -4.6 |
| 39 | Timmy Hill | 23.9 | 39 | -15.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 23 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 10.3 avg finish (6 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- Ryan Preece: was the model’s top pick based on 3 career starts at Indianapolis Motor Speedway with a 15.0 avg finish, finishing P25 on the day.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD?
Kyle Busch won the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD at Indianapolis Motor Speedway.
Where was the 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD held?
The 2016 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT THE BRICKYARD was held at Indianapolis Motor Speedway on July 23, 2016.