NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN
Watkins Glen International — August 5, 2017
Kyle Busch
Winner
82
Laps
40
Entries
5
Leaders
Kyle Busch won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN at Watkins Glen International on August 5, 2017, leading 43 of 82 laps. Joey Logano finished second; Brad Keselowski rounded out the podium. The race featured 5 different leaders.
Race Details
Date
Saturday, August 5, 2017
Season
2017
Winner
Leaders
5 drivers
| Pos | Start | +/- | Driver |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | +1 | Kyle Busch |
| 2 | 1 | -1 | Joey Logano |
| 3 | 5 | +2 | Brad Keselowski |
| 4 | 7 | +3 | Justin Allgaier |
| 5 | 4 | -1 | Paul Menard |
| 6 | 10 | +4 | Kevin Harvick |
| 7 | 11 | +4 | Ty Dillon |
| 8 | 6 | -2 | Erik Jones |
| 9 | 16 | +7 | Brendan Gaughan |
| 10 | 15 | +5 | William Byron |
| 11 | 8 | -3 | Daniel Hemric |
| 12 | 9 | -3 | Cole Custer |
| 13 | 19 | +6 | Matt Tifft |
| 14 | 18 | +4 | Brandon Jones |
| 15 | 12 | -3 | Ryan Reed |
| 16 | 27 | +11 | Michael Annett |
| 17 | 13 | -4 | Brennan Poole |
| 18 | 20 | +2 | Elliott Sadler |
| 19 | 29 | +10 | Ross Chastain |
| 20 | 23 | +3 | Dylan Lupton |
| 21 | 26 | +5 | Dakoda Armstrong |
| 22 | 14 | -8 | Blake Koch |
| 23 | 36 | +13 | Harrison Rhodes |
| 24 | 33 | +9 | Garrett Smithley |
| 25 | 17 | -8 | Casey Mears |
| 26 | 38 | +12 | Devin Jones |
| 27 | 24 | -3 | Ryan Sieg |
| 28 | 28 | — | Josh Bilicki |
| 29 | 40 | +11 | Joey Gase |
| 30 | 37 | +7 | David Starr |
| 31 | 35 | +4 | Enrique Baca |
| 32 | 22 | -10 | Spencer Gallagher |
| 33 | 34 | +1 | Brian Henderson |
| 34 | 32 | -2 | Cody Ware |
| 35 | 21 | -14 | Jeremy Clements |
| 36 | 39 | +3 | Stephen Young |
| 37 | 30 | -7 | Timmy Hill |
| 38 | 31 | -7 | Jeff Green |
| 39 | 25 | -14 | J.J. Yeley |
| 40 | 3 | -37 | Kyle Larson |
Model Performance
How well did the NR-Rating model predict this race? Across 18 matched drivers, the model averaged 10.7 positions off — worse than the season average of 8.5. Below Average
| Pos | Driver | Predicted | Actual | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kyle Busch | 13.0 | 1 | +12.0 |
| 2 | Joey Logano | 12.7 | 2 | +10.7 |
| 3 | Brad Keselowski | 16.7 | 3 | +13.7 |
| 4 | Justin Allgaier | 16.8 | 4 | +12.8 |
| 7 | Ty Dillon | 21.4 | 7 | +14.4 |
| 8 | Erik Jones | 21.4 | 8 | +13.4 |
| 10 | William Byron | 11.5 | 10 | +1.5 |
| 12 | Cole Custer | 25.7 | 12 | +13.7 |
| 17 | Brennan Poole | 21.4 | 17 | +4.4 |
| 19 | Ross Chastain | 16.2 | 19 | -2.8 |
| 25 | Casey Mears | 16.7 | 25 | -8.3 |
| 28 | Josh Bilicki | 29.0 | 28 | +1.0 |
| 29 | Joey Gase | 20.8 | 29 | -8.2 |
| 30 | David Starr | 20.8 | 30 | -9.2 |
| 34 | Cody Ware | 28.5 | 34 | -5.5 |
| 37 | Timmy Hill | 20.8 | 37 | -16.2 |
| 39 | J.J. Yeley | 21.9 | 39 | -17.1 |
| 40 | Kyle Larson | 12.9 | 40 | -27.1 |
Predicted finish from NR-Rating model. Delta = predicted − actual (positive = driver beat prediction). Confidence: High Confidence = low variance (stdDev ≤ 9), Moderate = medium variance, Coinflip = high variance.
Historical Context
- Kyle Busch: has 31 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 13.5 avg finish (3 wins) — the model may have underweighted this track history.
- William Byron: was the model’s top pick based on 8 career starts at Watkins Glen International with a 12.8 avg finish (1 win), finishing P10 on the day.
- Ty Dillon: was the biggest surprise, finishing P7 vs predicted P21. Track history: 10 starts, 18.6 avg finish.
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Frequently Asked Questions
Who won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN?
Kyle Busch won the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN at Watkins Glen International.
Where was the 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN held?
The 2017 NASCAR XFINITY SERIES AT WATKINS GLEN was held at Watkins Glen International on August 5, 2017.